Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC
Match Preview
The model favours Club Queretaro to win against Atlante FC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Queretaro currently sits in a strong 6th position in the league, having secured 14 points from 8 matches with a record of four wins, two draws, and two losses. Their goal difference of +3 highlights a solid defensive performance, conceding only 8 goals while scoring 11. With two wins and two draws in their last five matches, Queretaro appears to be in decent form as they aim for a playoff position. In contrast, Atlante FC is positioned 13th, with 11 points from 10 matches, reflecting a struggle this season. Their record of two wins, five draws, and three losses indicates inconsistency, and a goal difference of -3 suggests vulnerabilities in defence, having conceded 15 goals while scoring 12. Their recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss shows they have been difficult to beat but have not been able to convert draws into victories, limiting their upward momentum. The model gives Club Queretaro a win probability of approximately 55%, while the projected score is 2-1. A key market to watch is the odds on Queretaro winning by a single goal. However, a potential caveat is if Atlante can exploit Queretaro's defensive gaps, which could lead to an unexpected result. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that analyses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Club Queretaro have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Club Queretaro clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Club Queretaro are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.99 | 3.32 | 3.54 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.75 | 1.95 | — | — | |
| 2.14 | 3.20 | 3.68 | 1.79 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.05 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 2.01 | 3.32 | 3.56 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 | DLWWW |
| 2 |  Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 | WDLWW |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Club Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 | WDWWL |
| 5 |  Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 | WDWLD |
| 6 |  Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 | WDLDL |
| 14 | Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 16 |  Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 | WWWLD |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 3 | LWLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonClub Queretaro have won 4 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Club Queretaro 1-1 and lost to Club Queretaro 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 12D 9L from the last 32 games (34% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Atlante FC have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Puebla 1-1 and lost to Tigres UANL 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 8D 9L from the last 23 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersClub Queretaro
No reported absences
Atlante FC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Club Queretaro have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Atlante FC 4.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.7 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Club Queretaro have generated 1.53 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 5.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Club Queretaro player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.