Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis Prediction, Tips & Odds
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis
Match Preview
The model favours Atletico San Luis to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Atletico San Luis currently sits one place higher in the standings at 14th, having accumulated 12 points from 10 matches. Their recent form shows a slight improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, highlighting a capability to secure points despite some inconsistencies. They have scored 14 goals this season, which, while not outstanding, indicates a more effective attack compared to their opponents. On the other hand, Atlante FC is struggling in 15th place, with only 11 points from 11 matches. Their form has been less encouraging, marked by just one win in their last five outings. With 12 goals scored and 17 conceded, their goal differential of -5 reflects ongoing defensive issues that could be exploited by Atletico San Luis. According to our model, Atletico San Luis has a win probability of around 45%, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a caveat exists; if Atlante can improve their defensive solidity and convert more scoring opportunities, they could potentially upset the prediction. The full method behind this analysis, which leverages expected goals and actual results across the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
Atlante FC have been the stronger side, winning 23% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Atlante FC are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Atlante FC vs Atletico San Luis| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.96 | 1.72 | 2.03 | 1.59 | 2.18 | |
| 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.29 | 3.59 | 3.09 | 1.78 | 2.10 | — | — | |
| 2.06 | 3.15 | 2.86 | 1.74 | 2.08 | — | — | |
| 2.15 | 3.10 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.20 | |
| 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.22 | 3.40 | 2.98 | 1.72 | 2.03 | 1.59 | 2.21 | |
Betano | 2.25 | 3.50 | 3.05 | 1.78 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.71 | 1.98 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Atletico San Luis leads 3-2)The head-to-head record between Atlante FC and Atletico San Luis stands at 2 wins for Atlante FC, 1 draw, and 3 wins for Atletico San Luis over the last 6 matches. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with two matches resulting in narrow wins and one match ending in a scoreless draw. However, Atletico San Luis has managed to secure three victories, including a 3-0 win, which highlights their ability to achieve heavy wins against Atlante FC. The last win for Atlante FC against Atletico San Luis was in January 2018, suggesting a recent advantage for the latter in this matchup.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 24 | WDWDL |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 23 | WDDLD |
| 3 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 4 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 | WLDWD |
| 5 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 20 | WDDLW |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 16 | WDLWW |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 14 | WLLWD |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 13 | LDLDW |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 4 | LLDLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAtlante FC have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-2 and beat Monterrey 4-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 9D 11L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Atletico San Luis have won 5 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Atletico San Luis 1-1 and beat U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 9D 16L from the last 36 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAtlante FC
No reported absences
Atletico San Luis
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Atlante FC have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Atletico San Luis 3.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Atlante FC have generated 0.99 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 23% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Atlante FC player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
