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Corinthians vs Remo Prediction, Tips & Odds

Corinthians vs Remo

Serie ARegular Season - 19
Corinthians
#9 · Serie A
DDWDW
3 - 0
Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Referee: L. Casagrande
Remo
#19 · Serie A
DLWLW
★ OUR PICK
Corinthians to Win
Strong home form and superior underlying numbers over Remo make Corinthians the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.53
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.50 (implied 66.8%) for Corinthians to Win. Our experts calculate a 69.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.44). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (69.3% vs 66.8%), driven by Corinthians's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Corinthians to win this match against Remo, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Positioned 10th in the Serie A standings, Corinthians have had a mixed season with six wins, six draws, and six losses, accumulating 24 points. Their goal difference of -1 suggests a lack of offensive potency, but they have shown resilience, especially at home, which will be critical in this fixture. On the other hand, Remo currently sits in 18th place, struggling in the relegation zone with only four wins from 18 matches. They have managed to score 21 goals but have conceded 29, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Their recent form indicates a slight improvement with three wins in their last five matches, yet they remain at risk of dropping further if they cannot secure points in this encounter. According to the model, Corinthians have a 60.2% probability of winning, while Remo's chances stand at 15.2%. The model suggests a close contest, with a projected score of 1-0 and a market expectation of over 2.5 goals at 47.3%. A potential caveat for Corinthians is their inconsistency, as they have only two wins in their last five matches. For a deeper understanding of this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team explains their in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Corinthians Win62%1.50
Draw21%4.01
Remo Win16%6.77
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7254.6%

Corinthians have kept a clean sheet in 49% of matches. Remo average 1.2 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8355.5%

Corinthians manage games at home, conceding just 0.74 goals per match. Remo score 1.24 on the road.

Correct Score
Corinthians 1-0 Remo
5.6217.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Corinthians -1.5
2.5042%

Corinthians have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
5.62
17.8%
2-0
6.28
16.0%
1-1
7.14
14.1%
2-1
7.72
13.0%
0-0
9.27
10.8%
3-0
10.10
10.0%

Our model projects a 1-0 Corinthians win as the most likely scoreline at 17.8% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Corinthians clean sheets, in line with their 49% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Corinthians
-0.0
1.14
Remo
+0.0
5.12
Corinthians
-0.5
1.49
Remo
+0.5
5.65
Corinthians
-1.5
2.50
Remo
+1.5
13.00

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Corinthians are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Corinthians vs Remo
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.513.807.001.951.832.001.73
Marathonbet
1.494.006.601.941.832.021.69
Betfair
1.474.006.501.911.801.951.75
Pinnacle
1.514.197.472.001.88
SBO
1.453.765.902.011.83
William Hill
1.503.806.502.001.75
Bet365
1.504.107.001.951.852.051.70
1xBet
1.534.126.791.981.862.021.71
Unibet
1.484.107.001.961.842.021.70
888Sport
1.503.806.501.911.802.001.75
Betano
1.534.157.501.981.872.051.72
Superbet
1.534.156.301.971.832.071.70
BetVictor
1.454.107.001.901.782.051.67

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.5%
Over 3.5 Goals
27.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XCorinthians or Draw
84%1.10
12Corinthians or Remo
79%1.22
X2Draw or Remo
38%2.51

Head to Head

Last 2 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)
1 Corinthians0 Draw1 Remo
Apr 23
Corinthians
2-0
Remo
Copa Do Brasil
Apr 23
Remo
2-0
Corinthians
Copa Do Brasil

The head-to-head record between Corinthians and Remo stands at one win for each team, with no draws in their last two encounters. Both matches ended with a scoreline of 2-0, indicating that the victories were decisive but not excessively lopsided. Each team has managed to secure a win at home, highlighting a competitive balance in their recent history. There is no clear trend favoring one side, as both teams have shown they can dominate when playing in their own environment.

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Palmeiras
21145238162247
WLWWW
2
Flamengo
20116337181939
DDWWL
3
Atletico Paranaense
2111462819937
DWWWW
4
Fluminense
219753025534
DDDDL
5
Bahia
218852925432
DDDWW
6
RB Bragantino
209472620631
DDWWW
9
Corinthians
217862220229
DDWWW
19
Remo
2156102434-1021
LWLWL
20
Chapecoense-sc
2017121941-2210
DLLLL
20
Chapecoense B
2017121941-2210

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
CorinthiansHome
5W3D3L
11 playedGF 12 · GA 81.64 pts/game
RemoAway
2W2D7L
11 playedGF 11 · GA 230.73 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
CorinthiansRemo
1.11Goals p.g.1.24
0.74Goals conceded p.g.1.38
49%Clean sheets18%
43%Win rate29%
1.86Avg goals in match2.62
1.01xG per game0.99
-0.03xGA per game-0.07
60%Possession %42%
5.1Shots on target / game3.7
5.1Corners per game4.6
Corinthians
Recent Form

Corinthians have won 9 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Atletico Paranaense 0-0 and beat Remo 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 8L from the last 35 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: CorinthiansAll competitions
30 Jul
Corinthians
0-0
Atletico Paranaense
Serie A
26 Jul
Bahia
1-1
Corinthians
Serie A
23 Jul
Corinthians
3-0
Remo
Serie A
12 Jul
Cascavel
1-1
Corinthians
Friendlies Clubs
30 May
Gremio
1-3
Corinthians
Serie A
28 May
Corinthians
0-2
Platense
CONMEBOL Libertadores
15
Win
43%
12
Draw
34%
8
Lost
23%
Remo
Recent Form

Remo have won 4 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 7 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Remo 0-0 and lost to Mirassol 2-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 12D 12L from the last 34 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: RemoAll competitions
02 Aug
Santos
0-0
Remo
Copa Do Brasil
29 Jul
Mirassol
2-1
Remo
Serie A
26 Jul
Remo
2-0
Vitoria
Serie A
23 Jul
Corinthians
3-0
Remo
Serie A
31 May
Remo
1-0
Sao Paulo
Serie A
24 May
Remo
1-2
Atletico Paranaense
Serie A
10
Win
29%
12
Draw
35%
12
Lost
35%

Lineups

Confirmed

Corinthians4-2-3-1Confirmed

3Gabriel PaulistaDEF
2MatheuzinhoDEF
21Matheus BiduDEF
13Gustavo HenriqueDEF
9Yuri AlbertoFWD
1Hugo SouzaGK
37Kaio CésarMID
52Zakaria LabyadMID
7Breno BidonMID
49André LuizMID
29AllanMID
5André RamalhoDEF
20Pedro MilansDEF
26Fabrizio AngileriDEF
4João Pedro TchocaDEF
18Pedro RaulFWD
51KauêGK
77Jesse LingardMID
35CharlesMID
80Alex SantanaMID
19André CarrilloMID
23Matheus PereiraMID
61DieguinhoMID

Remo4-2-3-1Confirmed

77MaykDEF
13MarllonDEF
79MarcelinhoDEF
27Zé IvaldoDEF
15Vitor BuenoFWD
88Marcelo RangelGK
28Zé WelisonMID
8PatrickMID
22Yago PikachuMID
37JajáMID
11Alef MangaMID
2Matheus AlexandreDEF
5LéoDEF
4Matheus FelipeDEF
10JádersonFWD
9Gabriel PovedaFWD
19Gabriel TaliariFWD
97IvanGK
94Ygor VinhasGK
55Zé RicardoMID
26David BragaMID
14Leonel PiccoMID
61TicoMID

Unavailable Players

10 players

Corinthians4

Joao Pedro
Missing FixtureMuscle Injury
Kayke
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
M. Depay
Missing FixtureRest
Vitinho
Missing FixtureHip Injury

Remo6

Eduardo Melo
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Gabriel Taliari
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Joao Lucas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Marcelo Rangel
Missing FixtureInactive
Patrick de Paula
Missing FixtureGroin Injury
Thalisson
QuestionableKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Corinthians Win1.50 (62.3%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.83 (55.5%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.95 (44.5%)
Both Teams Score2.02 (45.4%)
BTTS No1.72 (54.6%)
Speculative
Draw4.01 (21.3%)
Remo Win6.77 (16.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

L. Casagrande has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by L. Casagrande to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Corinthians have averaged 5.1 corners per match at home; Remo 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Corinthians have generated 1.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 43% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Corinthians player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Corinthians to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.