Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Prediction, Tips & Odds
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
Match Preview
The model favours Deportivo La Coruna to win against Levante, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Deportivo currently sits in 7th place in La Liga with 10 points from 7 matches, showcasing a solid start to the season despite their recent struggles. They have managed to score 10 goals while conceding 8, resulting in a goal difference of +2. However, they have not won in their last five matches, recording three draws and two losses, indicating that they will be eager to return to winning ways at home. Levante, on the other hand, is positioned 17th with only 5 points from 6 games. Their form has been inconsistent, with a record of 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses. They have scored 8 goals but have conceded 12, leading to a negative goal difference of -4. Despite their low league standing, they managed to secure a draw in their most recent match, which could provide a slight morale boost heading into this fixture. The model gives Deportivo La Coruna a higher win probability, reflecting their stronger overall season performance compared to Levante. However, a potential caveat is Deportivo's recent winless streak, which could impact their confidence. For further details on our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines the use of an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Deportivo La Coruna manage games at home, conceding just 1.00 goals per match. Levante score 1.33 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.8% probability.
Deportivo La Coruna have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Deportivo La Coruna clean sheets, in line with their 27% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Deportivo La Coruna are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.11 | 3.52 | 3.50 | 1.92 | 1.90 | 1.72 | 2.00 | |
| 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 2.15 | 3.48 | 3.36 | 1.93 | 1.91 | — | — | |
| 1.98 | 3.20 | 3.21 | 1.92 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 2.17 | 3.62 | 3.60 | 1.98 | 1.96 | 1.72 | 2.02 | |
Betano | 2.12 | 3.35 | 3.55 | 1.95 | 1.88 | 1.72 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.25 | 1.84 | 1.83 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Levante stands at 3 wins for Deportivo, 4 draws, and 3 wins for Levante over the last 10 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry with no side clearly dominating. The match results show a mix of narrow victories, such as several 2-1 scorelines, and a notable 4-0 win for Deportivo in 2013, suggesting occasional lopsided outcomes. However, the frequency of draws, particularly four in total, highlights that many encounters have been closely contested. Neither side has won in the last two matchups, indicating a competitive stalemate in recent history.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 10 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | DLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonDeportivo La Coruna have won 4 of their last 10 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to FC Porto 1-3 and drew with Real Betis 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 9D 4L from the last 22 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Levante have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Levante 3-1 and drew with Malaga 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 13L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersDeportivo La Coruna
No reported absences
Levante
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 3.8 corners per match at home; Levante 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Deportivo La Coruna have generated 0.85 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Deportivo La Coruna player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
