Levante vs Sevilla Prediction, Tips & Odds
Levante vs Sevilla
Match Preview
The model favours Levante with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Sevilla. Despite sitting in 17th place in La Liga, Levante has shown glimpses of potential, particularly with their recent form of one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Their goal difference of -4 indicates some struggles defensively, but they have managed to score eight goals so far this season, which suggests they can find the back of the net against a mid-table opponent. Sevilla, currently positioned 5th, has performed reasonably well this season with four wins, one draw, and two losses from their seven matches. Their goal tally of 10 goals scored reflects a solid attacking unit, and they have a positive goal difference of 1. However, their recent form has seen them earn just two wins in their last five games, hinting at some inconsistency that Levante may exploit. The model outputs a win probability of 36.4% for Levante, with a 34.4% chance for Sevilla and a 29.2% chance of a draw. While Levante's home advantage is a factor, the key caveat is their defensive record, which could be exploited by Sevilla's attackers. For a deeper understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Levante manage games at home, conceding just 1.52 goals per match. Sevilla score 1.12 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Sevilla have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Sevilla are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Levante vs Sevilla| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.77 | 3.24 | 2.76 | 2.18 | 1.70 | 1.83 | 1.87 | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.95 | |
| 2.77 | 3.20 | 2.83 | 2.26 | 1.70 | — | — | |
| 2.65 | 2.93 | 2.43 | 2.08 | 1.78 | — | — | |
| 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.62 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.91 | |
| 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 2.82 | 3.29 | 2.80 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.89 | |
Betano | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.67 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.08 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Sevilla leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Levante and Sevilla, Sevilla has won 7 times, Levante has won 2, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a notable dominance by Sevilla, with several heavy wins, including a 5-0 victory and a 5-3 match. Levante's victories were more recent and by a margin of 2-0 and 3-0, suggesting they can compete, but overall, the historical record shows that Sevilla has consistently had the upper hand. The draw frequency is low, with only one match ending level, reflecting a tendency towards decisive outcomes rather than tight contests.
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 19 | WWWWL |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 | WLWWL |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 13 | LWWDL |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 | WWLWD |
| 18 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 | LLDWD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 5 | DLWLL |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 | DLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLevante have won 11 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Levante 2-4 and beat Levante 5-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 13L from the last 33 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Sevilla have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 and beat Athletic Club 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 6D 15L from the last 34 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
6 playersLevante3
Sevilla3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Adrian Cordero Vega has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Adrian Cordero Vega to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Levante have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Sevilla 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sevilla have generated 1.16 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 3.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sevilla player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
