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Dila vs Apollon Limassol Prediction, Tips & Odds

Dila vs Apollon Limassol

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Dila
LLDLW
0 - 4
Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Referee: D. Higraff
Apollon Limassol
WWWDW
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.65
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.64 (implied 61.1%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 63.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.57). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (63.6% vs 61.1%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Dila with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Apollon Limassol. Dila has shown a slight edge in their recent form, managing two wins and one draw in their last five matches. This includes a solid performance in their most recent outing, which could provide a confidence boost as they head into this crucial match. On the other hand, Apollon Limassol has also recorded two wins in their last five matches, but their form has been inconsistent, highlighted by two losses in that span. This inconsistency may affect their morale and overall performance, especially as they face a Dila side that is looking to capitalize on home advantage. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Dila, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage suggests that there is a 60% chance of Dila scoring over 1.5 goals. However, a potential caveat is that if Apollon Limassol can stabilize their performance and exploit any defensive lapses from Dila, they could turn the tide in their favour. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Dila Win27%4.06
Draw24%3.23
Apollon Limassol Win50%1.88
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7652.4%

Dila have kept a clean sheet in 27% of matches. Apollon Limassol average 1.6 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.6455.8%

Dila manage games at home, conceding just 1.55 goals per match. Apollon Limassol score 1.62 on the road.

Correct Score
Dila 0-1 Apollon Limassol
5.5718.1%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 18.1% probability.

Asian Handicap
Apollon Limassol -0.0
1.3544%

Apollon Limassol have been the stronger side, winning 62% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
0-1
5.57
18.1%
1-1
5.91
17.0%
0-2
7.56
13.3%
0-0
7.75
13.0%
1-2
7.91
12.8%
1-0
9.15
11.0%

Our model projects a 0-1 Apollon Limassol win as the most likely scoreline at 18.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Dila
-0.0
2.92
Apollon Limassol
+0.0
1.35
Dila
-0.3
2.95
Apollon Limassol
+0.3
1.62
Dila
-0.5
3.40
Apollon Limassol
+0.5
2.00
Dila
-1.5
10.00
Apollon Limassol
+1.5
3.25

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Apollon Limassol are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Dila vs Apollon Limassol
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
3.953.301.882.151.651.931.73
Marathonbet
4.453.251.832.191.641.971.73
Betfair
4.503.301.752.101.651.911.83
Pinnacle
4.223.191.852.211.63
SBO
3.232.881.95
William Hill
4.203.101.911.951.75
Bet365
3.803.251.852.251.622.001.73
1xBet
4.443.251.852.191.641.971.75
Unibet
4.003.351.872.071.651.891.78
Betano
4.103.401.882.201.651.981.75
Superbet
3.603.202.052.151.631.921.78
BetVictor
4.203.301.872.131.612.001.73

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
Over 1.5 Goals
67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
44.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
23.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XDila or Draw
50%1.84
12Dila or Apollon Limassol
76%1.27
X2Draw or Apollon Limassol
73%1.20

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Apollon Limassol leads 1-0)
0 Dila0 Draw1 Apollon Limassol
23 Jul
Dila
0-2
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League

In their only previous meeting, Apollon Limassol won against Dila with a score of 2-0. This result indicates a clear advantage for Apollon Limassol, showcasing a decisive win rather than a narrow contest. Dila has not secured any victories in this head-to-head record, and the absence of draws further emphasizes Apollon Limassol's dominance in their encounter. Given that this match occurred recently, it highlights a one-sided history between the two teams.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
DilaApollon Limassol
1Goals p.g.1.62
1.55Goals conceded p.g.0.85
27%Clean sheets62%
18%Win rate62%
2.55Avg goals in match2.46
Dila
Recent Form

Dila have won 2 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Apollon Limassol 0-4 and lost to Torpedo Kutaisi 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 2W 2D 7L from the last 11 games (18% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DilaAll competitions
23 Jul
Dila
0-4
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Virtus
1-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-0
Dila
Super Cup
27 Jun
Dila
0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Super Cup
22 Jun
Dila
3-0
Rustavi
Erovnuli Liga
16 Jun
Dila
3-1
Spaeri
Erovnuli Liga
2
Win
18%
2
Draw
18%
7
Lost
64%
Apollon Limassol
Recent Form

Apollon Limassol have won 4 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Apollon Limassol 0-1 and beat Dila 0-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 2D 3L from the last 13 games (62% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Apollon LimassolAll competitions
05 Aug
Brann
0-1
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
28 Jul
Apollon Limassol
3-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
23 Jul
Dila
0-4
Apollon Limassol
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0-0
AEK Larnaca
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
0-3
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Utrecht
0-1
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
62%
2
Draw
15%
3
Lost
23%

Lineups

Confirmed

Dila4-2-3-1Confirmed

13Joao Victor de Araujo CostaDEF
2Tedo KikabidzeDEF
14Giorgi JalaghoniaDEF
25Lamar YarbroughDEF
22Shota ShekiladzeFWD
1Davit KereselidzeGK
8Lasha MenteshashviliMID
27Alioune Oumar TallMID
16Mamin SanyangMID
10Otar ParulavaMID
37Nana Kofi DonkorMID
33Ramaric EtouDEF
5Maik PoeketieDEF
9Mohamed KantéFWD
21Zurab MuselianiFWD
12Luka SanikidzeGK
7Franklin NyenetueMID
15Georgii KobakhidzeMID
19Badri GogoberishviliMID
6Claude KouakouMID

Apollon Limassol4-3-3Confirmed

14Giorgos MalekkidisDEF
37Leonidas KonomisDEF
76Bruno GasparDEF
44Josef KvidaDEF
30Dani EscricheFWD
22Philipp KühnGK
27Gaetan WeissbeckMID
77Ivan LjubićMID
5Morgan BrownMID
11Evangelos AndreouMID
23Brandon ThomasMID
38Konstantinos BalogiannisDEF
26Antreas ShikkisDEF
129Nearchos ZinonosDEF
4Emanuel AiwuDEF
9Alen OžboltFWD
89Robertos RotisFWD
41Peter LeeuwenburghGK
31Konstantinos StylianouGK
12Gustavo AssunçãoMID
17Clinton DuoduMID
18Andreas AthanasiouMID
20Danilo ŠpoljarićMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Dila

No reported absences

Apollon Limassol

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.64 (55.8%)
Value Bets
Dila Win4.06 (26.6%)
Apollon Limassol Win1.88 (49.6%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.16 (44.2%)
Both Teams Score1.95 (47.6%)
BTTS No1.76 (52.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.23 (23.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

D. Higraff has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by D. Higraff to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Dila average 1.0 goals per match at home; Apollon Limassol 1.6 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Apollon Limassol have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 62% of their matches and averaging 1.6 goals per game. Apollon Limassol player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.