Dila vs Apollon Limassol Prediction, Tips & Odds

Dila vs Apollon Limassol

UEFA Europa Conference League2nd Qualifying Round
Dila
LWDLW
VS
Tengiz Burjanadze Stadium, Gori
Apollon Limassol
DWWLL
★ OUR PICK
Under 2.5 Goals
Tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form make the under the value pick here.
Totals
1.57
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.57 (implied 63.7%) for Under 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 66.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.51). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (66.2% vs 63.7%), driven by both sides' tight defensive records and low-scoring recent form. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Dila with a projected scoreline of 2-1 against Apollon Limassol. Dila has shown a slight edge in their recent form, managing two wins and one draw in their last five matches. This includes a solid performance in their most recent outing, which could provide a confidence boost as they head into this crucial match. On the other hand, Apollon Limassol has also recorded two wins in their last five matches, but their form has been inconsistent, highlighted by two losses in that span. This inconsistency may affect their morale and overall performance, especially as they face a Dila side that is looking to capitalize on home advantage. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Dila, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage suggests that there is a 60% chance of Dila scoring over 1.5 goals. However, a potential caveat is that if Apollon Limassol can stabilize their performance and exploit any defensive lapses from Dila, they could turn the tide in their favour. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Dila Win36%3.15
Draw25%3.15
Apollon Limassol Win39%2.34
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: No
1.7551.8%

Dila have kept a clean sheet in 27% of matches. Apollon Limassol average 1.3 goals per game.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.5757.8%

Dila manage games at home, conceding just 1.27 goals per match. Apollon Limassol score 1.30 on the road.

Correct Score
Dila 1-1 Apollon Limassol
6.0016.7%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.7% probability.

Asian Handicap
Apollon Limassol -0.3
1.9533%

Apollon Limassol have been the stronger side, winning 50% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.00
16.7%
0-0
6.00
16.7%
0-1
6.30
15.9%
1-0
7.90
12.7%
1-2
9.50
10.5%
0-2
10.00
10.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Dila
-0.3
2.57
Apollon Limassol
+0.3
1.95

Lines averaged across 1 bookmaker. Apollon Limassol are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Dila vs Apollon Limassol
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
1xBet
3.203.202.38————
Betano
3.103.102.302.321.571.981.75

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
84.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
64.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
42.2%
Over 3.5 Goals
22.9%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XDila or Draw
61%1.62
12Dila or Apollon Limassol
75%1.33
X2Draw or Apollon Limassol
64%1.37

Head to Head

No head-to-head data available.

Key Statistics

2026 Season
DilaApollon Limassol
1.27Goals p.g.1.3
1.27Goals conceded p.g.1.1
27%Clean sheets50%
27%Win rate50%
2.55Avg goals in match2.4
Dila
Recent Form

Dila have won 3 of their last 6 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Dila 3-1 and lost to Dila 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 3W 2D 6L from the last 11 games (27% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: DilaAll competitions
16 Jul
Virtus
1-0
Dila
UEFA Europa Conference League
09 Jul
Dila
3-1
Virtus
UEFA Europa Conference League
01 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi
0-0
Dila
Super Cup
27 Jun
Dila
0-1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Super Cup
22 Jun
Dila
3-0
Rustavi
Erovnuli Liga
16 Jun
Dila
3-1
Spaeri
Erovnuli Liga
3
Win
27%
2
Draw
18%
6
Lost
55%
Apollon Limassol
Recent Form

Apollon Limassol have won 2 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat GO Ahead Eagles 0-3 and beat Utrecht 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 2D 3L from the last 10 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Apollon LimassolAll competitions
16 Jul
Apollon Limassol
0-0
AEK Larnaca
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
GO Ahead Eagles
0-3
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
07 Jul
Utrecht
0-1
Apollon Limassol
Friendlies Clubs
29 May
Apollon Limassol
0-2
Pafos
Cup
22 May
Omonia Nicosia
5-2
Apollon Limassol
1. Division
16 May
Apollon Limassol
3-2
Aris
1. Division
5
Win
50%
2
Draw
20%
3
Lost
30%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Dila

No reported absences

Apollon Limassol

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Under 2.5 Goals1.57 (57.8%)
Value Bets
Dila Win3.15 (35.9%)
Draw3.15 (25%)
Apollon Limassol Win2.34 (39%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.32 (42.2%)
Both Teams Score1.98 (48.2%)
BTTS No1.75 (51.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Dila average 1.3 goals per match at home; Apollon Limassol 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Apollon Limassol have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 50% of their matches and averaging 1.3 goals per game. Apollon Limassol player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Under

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Dila vs Apollon Limassol Predictions, Stats, H2H - 23 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt