FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana Prediction, Tips & Odds
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana
Match Preview
The model favours Club Tijuana to win against FC Juarez, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Club Tijuana currently occupies 8th place in the Liga MX standings, with 14 points from 9 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced attack, scoring 14 goals while conceding 13. Despite a recent downturn in form, their overall record indicates a competitive team capable of capitalising on the struggles of weaker opponents. In contrast, FC Juarez finds itself at the bottom of the table in 18th place, having managed only 1 win in 9 matches. Their goal difference of -17 highlights significant defensive issues, as they have conceded 23 goals while scoring only 6. With just 3 points to show for their efforts, Juarez has struggled to find consistency, and their recent form of one win and four losses further reflects their challenges this season. The model gives Club Tijuana a strong win probability in this matchup. However, one caveat is that if Juarez can find a way to disrupt Tijuana's rhythm, they may create opportunities to score. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season to inform these predictions.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Club Tijuana have been the stronger side, winning 31% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Club Tijuana are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
FC Juarez vs Club Tijuana| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.91 | 3.25 | 2.30 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.64 | 2.10 | |
| 2.88 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.80 | 1.91 | 1.65 | 2.10 | |
| 2.92 | 3.44 | 2.50 | 1.92 | 1.97 | — | — | |
| 2.71 | 3.17 | 2.34 | 1.90 | 1.94 | — | — | |
| 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.30 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 2.90 | 3.30 | 2.40 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 2.94 | 3.25 | 2.32 | 1.82 | 1.91 | 1.64 | 2.13 | |
Betano | 2.92 | 3.35 | 2.40 | 1.88 | 1.98 | 1.65 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.30 | 1.82 | 1.85 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Club Tijuana leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between FC Juarez and Club Tijuana, Club Tijuana leads with 5 wins, while FC Juarez has won 3 times and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive fixtures, with three matches ending in draws and several narrow victories. However, Club Tijuana has had a few more dominant performances, including a heavy 5-1 win. FC Juarez's last victory came over a year ago, highlighting a slight trend in favor of Club Tijuana in recent encounters. Overall, while the record is not overwhelmingly one-sided, it does show Club Tijuana as having the upper hand historically.
Liga MX Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 24 | WDWDL |
| 2 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 23 | WDDLD |
| 3 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 | DLDLW |
| 4 |  Leon | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 | WLDWD |
| 5 |  Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 21 | WDWDL |
| 6 |  Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 20 | WDDLW |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 | DDLDL |
| 16 |  CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 13 | LDLDW |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 | LLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 32 | -24 | 4 | LLDLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFC Juarez have won 5 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include drew with FC Juarez 1-1 and beat FC Juarez 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 19L from the last 36 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Club Tijuana have won 4 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with FC Juarez 1-1 and lost to Guadalajara Chivas 5-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 12D 10L from the last 32 games (31% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFC Juarez4-2-3-1Confirmed
Club Tijuana4-1-4-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersFC Juarez
No reported absences
Club Tijuana
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle has averaged 8.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
FC Juarez have averaged 4.2 corners per match at home; Club Tijuana 5.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Club Tijuana have generated 1.69 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 31% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Club Tijuana player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
