Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn Prediction, Tips & Odds
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn
Match Preview
The model favours FC Levadia Tallinn to win against Flora Tallinn, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting at the top of the Meistriliiga standings, FC Levadia has demonstrated impressive consistency this season. With 11 wins from 14 matches, they have not lost any games, showcasing a strong goal difference of +29. Their offensive prowess is highlighted by 39 goals scored, while their defence has conceded only 10, making them a formidable opponent. Flora Tallinn, positioned third in the league, has also been in excellent form, winning their last five matches. With a record of 9 wins from 13 matches, they have a solid goal difference of +17, scoring 29 goals and conceding 12. However, their four losses this season may prove costly against a team that remains unbeaten. The model indicates a win probability of 67% for FC Levadia Tallinn, with a projected score of 2-1. One key market percentage suggests that there is a 55% chance of a total of over 2.5 goals in the match. A potential caveat for the prediction is that Flora's recent surge in form could pose a challenge, and they might exploit any defensive lapses from Levadia. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side, winning 68% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Levadia Tallinn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.85 | 3.75 | 1.75 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.20 | |
| 3.98 | 3.64 | 1.71 | 1.59 | 2.21 | 1.56 | 2.21 | |
| 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 3.92 | 3.80 | 1.78 | 1.60 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 3.56 | 3.42 | 1.74 | — | — | — | — | |
| 3.80 | 3.50 | 1.67 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 3.80 | 3.80 | 1.70 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 4.04 | 3.64 | 1.73 | 1.59 | 2.21 | 1.56 | 2.25 | |
| 3.85 | 3.75 | 1.74 | 1.53 | 2.23 | 1.49 | 2.33 | |
Betano | 3.80 | 3.60 | 1.75 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — |
Superbet | 3.75 | 3.75 | 1.80 | 1.58 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.65 | 1.47 | 1.92 | 1.44 | 1.95 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Flora Tallinn | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 | WDDLL |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | DWDWL |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 10 | DLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFlora Tallinn have won 10 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Flora Tallinn 1-3 and beat Flora Tallinn 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 1D 7L from the last 26 games (69% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Levadia Tallinn have won 10 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Levadia Tallinn 1-2 and beat Flora Tallinn 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 5D 3L from the last 25 games (68% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersFlora Tallinn
No reported absences
FC Levadia Tallinn
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Tohver has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Tohver to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Flora Tallinn average 2.1 goals per match at home; FC Levadia Tallinn 2.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
FC Levadia Tallinn have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 68% of their matches and averaging 2.5 goals per game. FC Levadia Tallinn player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.