Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win with a projected scoreline of 3-1 against Ham-Kam. Bodo/Glimt currently sits in second place in the Eliteserien, showcasing a strong season with 16 wins from 21 matches. Their goal-scoring ability has been impressive, with 53 goals scored, which is the highest in the league. Additionally, their goal difference of +34 highlights their dominance, especially when combined with a solid defensive record, conceding only 19 goals. In contrast, Ham-Kam is struggling in 13th place, with only 6 wins to their name this season. With a goal difference of -15, their defensive vulnerabilities have been evident, as they have conceded 44 goals while scoring just 29. Their recent form has not offered much hope, with only one win in their last five matches, which suggests difficulties in both scoring and defending. The model indicates a win probability heavily in favour of Bodo/Glimt, reflecting their superior league position and form. However, a caveat to consider is Ham-Kam's potential to perform unexpectedly at home, which could disrupt Bodo/Glimt's plans. For a deeper understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 11.9% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 76% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 11.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Ham-Kam vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 10.50 | 6.55 | 1.21 | 1.28 | 3.05 | 1.69 | 2.02 | |
| 12.00 | 7.00 | 1.20 | 1.29 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 10.48 | 7.09 | 1.23 | 1.32 | 3.39 | — | — | |
| 7.62 | 5.70 | 1.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 10.00 | 6.00 | 1.22 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 9.50 | 5.75 | 1.25 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 11.00 | 6.91 | 1.23 | 1.28 | 3.05 | 1.69 | 2.05 | |
Betano | 9.00 | 6.30 | 1.25 | 1.29 | 3.40 | 1.62 | 2.15 |
BetVictor | 10.50 | 6.50 | 1.18 | 1.30 | 3.20 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 6-1)In the last nine encounters, Bodo/Glimt holds a dominant head-to-head record against Ham-Kam, winning six matches, while Ham-Kam has secured only one victory and the teams have drawn twice. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Bodo/Glimt to achieve decisive wins, with three matches ending in 3-0 and two in 2-0, showcasing their offensive strength. Ham-Kam's lone win was a narrow 1-0, and they have not won against Bodo/Glimt in their last five meetings. The overall pattern suggests a clear advantage for Bodo/Glimt, particularly in terms of scoring margins.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 37 | DLWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 34 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 10 | Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 26 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 19 | LLLWD |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 16 | LLWLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHam-Kam have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Ham-Kam 2-2 and drew with Ham-Kam 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 7D 15L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 15 of their last 23 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat Rana 2-6 and lost to Brann 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 34W 5D 6L from the last 45 games (76% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersHam-Kam
No reported absences
Bodo/Glimt
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Jorgen Haugen has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Ham-Kam have averaged 3.9 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 6.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 2.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 76% of them. They put 6.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
