Valerenga vs Brann Prediction, Tips & Odds
Valerenga vs Brann
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Valerenga. Brann currently sits in 7th place in the Eliteserien standings, having accumulated 29 points from 21 matches. Their season has seen a mixed bag of results, but they maintain a positive goal difference of +7, scoring 39 goals and conceding 32. The team's recent form shows some inconsistency, with two wins in their last five matches, but their overall position indicates a stronger season compared to their opponents. On the other hand, Valerenga finds themselves in 12th place with 23 points, showing a struggle this season with 6 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses. They have a negative goal difference of -9, having scored 34 goals but conceded 43. Their recent form includes just one win in the last five matches, which may contribute to their current low standing. It’s clear they need to improve defensively to turn their season around. The model output suggests a win probability of around 55% for Brann, with the projected score being 2-1. However, a potential caveat for this prediction is Brann's recent dip in form, having lost three of their last five matches. The full method, which utilizes expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team emphasizes data-driven insights to inform these forecasts.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.0% probability.
Valerenga have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Valerenga are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Valerenga vs Brann| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.45 | 3.82 | 2.47 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.33 | 2.98 | |
| 2.45 | 4.00 | 2.45 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 2.44 | 3.92 | 2.60 | 1.41 | 2.91 | — | — | |
| 2.29 | 3.48 | 2.35 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.45 | 3.60 | 2.50 | — | — | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.38 | 3.90 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.52 | 3.92 | 2.54 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.33 | 3.04 | |
Betano | 2.42 | 3.80 | 2.55 | 1.39 | 2.82 | 1.35 | 2.92 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.75 | 2.45 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.30 | 3.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 7-2)In the last 10 matches between Valerenga and Brann, Brann has won 7 times, while Valerenga has managed only 2 victories, with no draws recorded. The scorelines indicate a tendency for Brann to secure decisive wins, with several matches featuring a margin of two or more goals, such as 4-2 and 3-0. Valerenga's last win against Brann came in October 2021, highlighting a significant gap in success for them in this fixture. Overall, the head-to-head record suggests a strong advantage for Brann, underlined by their consistent ability to score multiple goals.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 37 | DLWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 34 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 29 | LWLLD |
| 13 | Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 23 | DLDLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 19 | LLLWD |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 16 | LLWLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonValerenga have won 11 of their last 20 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Fredrikstad 1-1 and lost to Molde 3-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 7D 13L from the last 36 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Brann have won 9 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Start 2-1 and beat Os 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 18L from the last 45 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersValerenga
No reported absences
Brann
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Rohit Saggi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Rohit Saggi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Valerenga have averaged 6.5 corners per match at home; Brann 6.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Valerenga have generated 1.69 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 6.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Valerenga player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
