Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon
Match Preview
The model favours Hangzhou Greentown to win against Qingdao Jonoon, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Positioned 10th in the standings, Hangzhou has had a mixed season with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, accumulating 17 points. Their scoring has been moderate with 23 goals for and 29 against, suggesting they are capable of finding the net but also vulnerable defensively. The team's recent form has not been ideal, with only one win in their last five outings, yet they remain the stronger side overall. On the other hand, Qingdao Jonoon sits in 14th place with 14 points, having secured 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses this season. Their goal difference of -1 indicates a slightly better defensive record compared to their offensive output, scoring 27 goals while conceding 28. However, their recent form has been concerning, with only one win in their last five matches, which may hinder their chances in this encounter. According to the model, Hangzhou Greentown has a 60.3% probability of winning, while the likelihood of a draw is 21.5% and Qingdao Jonoon at 18.2%. The prediction also suggests a strong chance of over 2.5 goals in the match at 64.2%. A potential caveat for Hangzhou could be their inconsistent form, which might lead to an unexpected result. For a detailed explanation of the prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team uses an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.
Hangzhou Greentown have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Hangzhou Greentown win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Hangzhou Greentown clean sheets, in line with their 14% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Hangzhou Greentown are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Hangzhou Greentown vs Qingdao Jonoon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.43 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 1.36 | 2.95 | 1.48 | 2.38 | |
| 1.44 | 4.70 | 5.80 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 1.40 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.53 | 2.45 | |
| 1.50 | 4.97 | 5.70 | 1.39 | 3.06 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.31 | 4.94 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 1.45 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 1.48 | 4.84 | 5.98 | 1.36 | 3.34 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 1.46 | 4.70 | 5.60 | 1.38 | 2.75 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.36 | 2.90 | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.60 | 5.40 | 1.38 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Superbet | 1.45 | 4.75 | 5.40 | 1.36 | 2.87 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.50 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Hangzhou Greentown leads 3-1)In the last seven matches between Hangzhou Greentown and Qingdao Jonoon, Hangzhou Greentown has won 3 times, there have been 3 draws, and Qingdao Jonoon has won once. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive rivalry, with several close contests, including three matches ending in draws and a high-scoring 4-3 encounter. While Hangzhou Greentown has secured the majority of wins, Qingdao Jonoon's lone victory came in a two-goal margin, suggesting they can compete effectively. Notably, the most recent match ended in a goalless draw, indicating that both teams can also struggle to find the net against each other.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 29 | DDLWL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 25 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Hangzhou Greentown | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 21 | DWLLW |
| 14 | Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 11 | WLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHangzhou Greentown have won 4 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hangzhou Greentown 3-2 and lost to Hangzhou Greentown 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 12D 9L from the last 29 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Qingdao Jonoon have won 2 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Qingdao Jonoon 5-1 and lost to Hangzhou Greentown 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 13L from the last 29 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHangzhou Greentown3-4-2-1Confirmed
Qingdao Jonoon4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHangzhou Greentown
No reported absences
Qingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Hangzhou Greentown have averaged 4.7 corners per match at home; Qingdao Jonoon 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Hangzhou Greentown have generated 2.01 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Hangzhou Greentown player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
