Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon Prediction, Tips & Odds
Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon
Match Preview
The model favours Henan Jianye to win against Qingdao Jonoon, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Henan Jianye currently sits in 13th place in the league, having accumulated 15 points from 17 matches. Their season has been a mix of ups and downs, highlighted by a recent form of two wins and three losses in their last five matches. With 18 goals scored and 22 conceded, their goal difference of -4 indicates a need for improvement in both attack and defense. On the other hand, Qingdao Jonoon is just one point below Henan Jianye in 14th place, with a total of 14 points from the same number of matches. Their recent form has been less favorable, managing only one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five games. Despite scoring 27 goals this season, their defensive record shows 28 goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -1. This suggests that while they can find the net, they struggle to keep opponents from scoring. The model suggests a win probability of approximately 55% for Henan Jianye, with a projected score of 2-1. One market indicator to note is the likelihood of at least two goals being scored in the match. However, a potential risk for Henan is their inconsistency, as they have shown vulnerability in defense. For a detailed breakdown of our prediction methodology, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.7% probability.
Henan Jianye have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Henan Jianye win as the most likely scoreline at 15.7% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Henan Jianye clean sheets, in line with their 22% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Henan Jianye are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Henan Jianye vs Qingdao Jonoon| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.23 | 5.50 | 10.25 | 1.45 | 2.60 | 1.85 | 1.80 | |
| 1.21 | 6.00 | 11.75 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.89 | 1.79 | |
| 1.22 | 6.00 | 10.50 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.25 | 6.44 | 10.66 | 1.45 | 2.75 | — | — | |
| 1.42 | 3.71 | 4.84 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.22 | 5.50 | 11.00 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 1.22 | 6.50 | 11.00 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 1.23 | 6.43 | 12.60 | 1.47 | 2.80 | 1.89 | 1.81 | |
| 1.27 | 5.60 | 9.00 | 1.45 | 2.55 | 1.81 | 1.87 | |
Betano | 1.24 | 5.70 | 9.75 | 1.47 | 2.50 | 1.98 | 1.75 |
Superbet | 1.31 | 5.15 | 7.50 | 1.52 | 2.37 | 1.83 | 1.87 |
BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.00 | 11.00 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.90 | 1.80 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Henan Jianye leads 3-2)In the last seven matches between Henan Jianye and Qingdao Jonoon, Henan Jianye has won 3 times, there have been 2 draws, and Qingdao Jonoon has also secured 2 victories. The scorelines indicate a relatively balanced rivalry, with several matches being closely contested; notably, three of the encounters ended with just one goal separating the teams. However, there have also been a couple of significant wins, with Henan Jianye defeating Qingdao Jonoon 3-1 and 2-0 in previous fixtures. The last time Qingdao Jonoon won was in July 2023, suggesting that recent performances have favored Henan Jianye.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Henan Jianye | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 23 | DDWWL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonHenan Jianye have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Qingdao Youth Island 0-0 and drew with Dalian Zhixing 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 10L from the last 32 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Qingdao Jonoon have won 2 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 11. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Qingdao Youth Island 2-0 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 4-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 8D 17L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedHenan Jianye4-2-3-1Confirmed
Qingdao Jonoon4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersHenan Jianye
No reported absences
Qingdao Jonoon
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Henan Jianye have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Qingdao Jonoon 3.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Henan Jianye have generated 1.28 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Henan Jianye player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
