Laagri vs Kuressaare Prediction, Tips & Odds
Laagri vs Kuressaare
Match Preview
The model favours Laagri to win against Kuressaare, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 5th place, Laagri has had a challenging season with six wins, one draw, and seven losses from their 14 matches. They have scored 18 goals but conceded 23, resulting in a goal difference of -5. Their recent form has been less than ideal, with just one win in their last five matches, indicating that they are in a tough stretch. Kuressaare, positioned 9th in the standings, has had an even tougher campaign. They have recorded four wins, one draw, and nine losses, scoring 14 goals while allowing 24, leading to a goal difference of -10. Their recent form shows just one win in five matches, similar to Laagri, but they have managed to secure a draw in that stretch, indicating some potential for improvement despite their overall struggles this season. The model output suggests that Laagri has a higher win probability compared to Kuressaare. However, the match could be unpredictable, particularly if Laagri's recent form continues to hinder their performance. Factors such as injuries or tactical changes could also impact the outcome. The full method used for this prediction is explained in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, which employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.9 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.5% probability.
Laagri have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.5% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Laagri are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Laagri vs Kuressaare| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.05 | 3.65 | 2.95 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.45 | 2.40 | |
| 2.05 | 3.48 | 2.99 | 1.55 | 2.29 | 1.46 | 2.45 | |
| 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | 1.44 | 2.63 | |
| 2.10 | 3.65 | 3.05 | 1.55 | 2.37 | — | — | |
| 2.01 | 3.30 | 2.87 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.07 | 3.48 | 3.04 | 1.55 | 2.29 | 1.46 | 2.50 | |
| 1.97 | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.10 | 1.52 | 2.28 | |
Betano | 2.07 | 3.45 | 2.95 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — |
Superbet | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.54 | 2.27 | 1.50 | 2.42 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 | WDDLL |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 | WDLWW |
| 6 |  Vaprus | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 | LDWLW |
| 7 | Laagri | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 19 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | DWDWL |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 10 | DLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLaagri have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Laagri 2-3 and beat Laagri 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 10L from the last 25 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Kuressaare have won 2 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Kuressaare 1-1 and lost to Tammeka 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 3D 13L from the last 23 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLaagri
No reported absences
Kuressaare
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
K. Kulljastinen has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by K. Kulljastinen to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Laagri average 1.7 goals per match at home; Kuressaare 1.3 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Laagri have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 44% of their matches and averaging 1.7 goals per game. Laagri player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.