Laagri vs Tammeka Prediction, Tips & Odds
Laagri vs Tammeka
Match Preview
The model favours Tammeka to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tammeka currently sits in 5th place in the Meistriliiga standings, having played 21 matches this season. With 10 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, they have amassed 32 points. Notably, Tammeka has demonstrated solid form recently, winning four of their last five matches, which indicates a positive trend as they approach this fixture. On the other hand, Laagri finds themselves in 6th position with 28 points from 24 matches. Their season has been inconsistent, with a record of 9 wins, 1 draw, and 14 losses. In their recent form, Laagri has struggled, managing only two victories in their last five matches. This inconsistency could be a critical factor as they face a team in better form. The model output suggests a win probability of approximately 60% for Tammeka, with the projected score of 2-1 reflecting their superior recent performances. However, one caveat is Laagri's ability to perform at home, which could pose a challenge for Tammeka. For a detailed explanation of how we arrived at this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
Laagri have been the stronger side, winning 47% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Laagri are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Laagri vs Tammeka| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.05 | 3.64 | 2.88 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.41 | 2.60 | |
| 2.00 | 3.75 | 2.90 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.07 | 3.64 | 2.93 | 1.43 | 2.46 | 1.41 | 2.66 | |
| 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.65 | 1.37 | 2.70 | 1.35 | 2.80 | |
Betano | 2.05 | 3.60 | 2.92 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Tammeka leads 6-3)In the last 10 matches between Laagri and Tammeka, Tammeka has won 6 times, Laagri has won 3 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, though Tammeka has had the upper hand overall. Several matches featured significant margins, such as Tammeka's 5-2 victory and a 3-0 win, but Laagri also managed a notable 4-1 win. The presence of both narrow contests, like the recent 2-1 results, and heavier defeats suggests that while Tammeka leads, the outcomes have varied widely. Laagri last triumphed over Tammeka in April 2026.
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 64 | 20 | 44 | 59 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Kalju Nomme | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 45 | 22 | 23 | 44 | LLWWW |
| 3 |  Flora Tallinn | 24 | 14 | 0 | 10 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 42 | LLWLW |
| 4 |  Paide | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 | WWDWL |
| 5 | Tammeka | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 | WWWWL |
| 6 | Laagri | 25 | 10 | 1 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 31 | WWLLL |
| 8 |  Nõmme United | 25 | 8 | 1 | 16 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 25 | LLLLL |
| 9 |  Kuressaare | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 25 | DLWWL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 57 | -39 | 17 | LLDLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLaagri have won 13 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Laagri 1-0 and lost to Laagri 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 4D 15L from the last 36 games (47% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tammeka have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat Tammeka 0-2 and beat Nõmme United 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 3D 13L from the last 34 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLaagri
No reported absences
Tammeka
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Laagri average 1.9 goals per match at home; Tammeka 1.9 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Laagri have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 47% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. Laagri player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
