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Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna Prediction, Tips & Odds

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna

BundesligaRegular Season - 8
Lask Linz
#3 · Bundesliga
WLLWD
0 - 2
Raiffeisen Arena, Linz (19,080)
Referee: Arnes Talic
Rapid Vienna
#1 · Bundesliga
WWWWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.42
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.39 (implied 72.1%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 74.6% probability (an expert ratio of 1.34). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (74.6% vs 72.1%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Lask Linz to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in third place, Lask Linz has had a solid season thus far, securing five wins from their first seven matches and scoring 19 goals while conceding only 7. Their goal difference of +12 highlights their attacking prowess and defensive stability, making them a formidable opponent at home. Rapid Vienna, on the other hand, leads the league in first place with six wins and one loss, accumulating 18 points from their seven matches. They have scored 21 goals, demonstrating their offensive strength; however, they share a similar defensive record to Lask Linz, having also conceded just 7 goals. Their recent form has been strong, with four wins in their last five matches, indicating that they are a team capable of competing at the top level. According to the model, Lask Linz has a win probability of 51.4%, while a draw stands at 24.4% and Rapid Vienna at 24.2%. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring is also high, at 62.7%. A potential caveat for Lask Linz could be the pressure of facing a top team like Rapid Vienna, which may affect their performance. The full method of this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Lask Linz Win47%1.93
Draw21%3.87
Rapid Vienna Win32%3.38
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.3967.7%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.3967.8%

Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Lask Linz 1-1 Rapid Vienna
8.2312.2%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.2% probability.

Asian Handicap
Lask Linz -0.0
1.4541%

Lask Linz have been the stronger side, winning 61% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
8.23
12.2%
2-1
8.61
11.6%
2-2
10.82
9.3%
1-2
11.82
8.5%
1-0
12.29
8.1%
3-1
12.56
8.0%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Lask Linz
-0.0
1.45
Rapid Vienna
+0.0
2.59
Lask Linz
-1.5
3.20
Rapid Vienna
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Lask Linz are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Lask Linz vs Rapid Vienna
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
1.903.863.451.362.701.382.76
Betfair
1.904.003.301.402.881.402.88
Pinnacle
2.004.003.521.413.01——
SBO
1.863.743.29————
William Hill
1.953.603.30——1.402.75
Bet365
1.953.803.401.402.881.402.75
1xBet
1.923.863.441.362.701.382.81
Betano
1.933.853.401.422.771.382.80
BetVictor
1.954.103.301.362.901.362.88

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
Over 1.5 Goals
84.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
67.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XLask Linz or Draw
68%1.28
12Lask Linz or Rapid Vienna
79%1.22
X2Draw or Rapid Vienna
53%1.86

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Lask Linz leads 5-2)
5 Lask Linz3 Draw2 Rapid Vienna
22 Mar
Rapid Vienna
4-2
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Nov 25
Lask Linz
3-0
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Oct 25
Rapid Vienna
0-2
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Jun 25
Rapid Vienna
3-0
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
May 25
Lask Linz
3-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Feb 25
Lask Linz
2-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Sept 24
Rapid Vienna
1-1
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Apr 24
Lask Linz
5-0
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
Mar 24
Rapid Vienna
0-0
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
Oct 23
Rapid Vienna
3-3
Lask Linz
Bundesliga

In the last 10 matches between Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna, Lask Linz has won 5 times, Rapid Vienna has 2 wins, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with Lask Linz often showing strength, including a notable 5-0 victory. However, Rapid Vienna has also secured significant wins, such as a 4-2 result. The presence of three draws highlights that matches can be tightly contested. Rapid Vienna's last win came in March 2026, suggesting Lask Linz has been more dominant in recent encounters.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
98012681824
WWWWL
2
Red Bull Salzburg
96302141721
WDWDW
3
Lask Linz
96122391419
WLDLW
4
Sturm Graz
95221610617
WWLWL
5
Ried
94231615114
WWWDL
6
WSG Wattens
93241214-211
WLLDW
10
Austria Vienna
9216918-97
LLDWL
11
SCR Altach
9207815-76
LWLLL
12
Wolfsberger AC
9126718-115
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Lask LinzHome
3W0D1L
4 playedGF 10 · GA 32.25 pts/game
Rapid ViennaAway
3W0D1L
4 playedGF 8 · GA 62.25 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Lask LinzRapid Vienna
2.52Goals p.g.2.05
1.32Goals conceded p.g.1.21
27%Clean sheets33%
61%Win rate58%
3.84Avg goals in match3.26
2.00xG per game2.38
-0.54xGA per game-0.49
52%Possession %60%
5.8Shots on target / game6.8
6.4Corners per game5.8
Lask Linz
Recent Form

Lask Linz have won 15 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lask Linz 3-6 and lost to Lask Linz 0-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 27W 6D 11L from the last 44 games (61% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Lask LinzAll competitions
17 Oct
Austria Lustenau
0-4
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
14 Oct
Lask Linz
3-6
Liverpool
UEFA Champions League
11 Oct
Lask Linz
0-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
02 Oct
Lask Linz
2-1
First Vienna
Friendlies Clubs
20 Sept
TSV Hartberg
3-3
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
13 Sept
Sturm Graz
2-1
Lask Linz
Bundesliga
27
Win
61%
6
Draw
14%
11
Lost
25%
Rapid Vienna
Recent Form

Rapid Vienna have won 8 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lask Linz 0-2 and beat Wolfsberger AC 0-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 25W 8D 10L from the last 43 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Rapid ViennaAll competitions
16 Oct
Rapid Vienna
3-1
TSV Hartberg
Bundesliga
11 Oct
Lask Linz
0-2
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
18 Sept
Rapid Vienna
3-0
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
12 Sept
Wolfsberger AC
0-3
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
05 Sept
Austria Klagenfurt
2-5
Rapid Vienna
Cup
02 Sept
Red Bull Salzburg
5-1
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
25
Win
58%
8
Draw
19%
10
Lost
23%

Lineups

Confirmed

Lask Linz5-3-2Confirmed

20K. JørgensenDEF
2G. BelloDEF
16A. AndradeDEF
43AlemãoDEF
4X. MbuyambaDEF
11S. KalajdzicFWD
27C. LangFWD
1L. JungwirthGK
6M. BogardeMID
30S. HorvathMID
10R. LjubičićMID
25Y. DibangoDEF
3M. FreckletonDEF
29F. FleckerFWD
7S. AdeniranFWD
8M. UsorFWD
33T. SchützenauerGK
23Daniel ElfadliMID
18A. SchöpfMID
9K. DaněkMID

Rapid Vienna4-2-3-1Confirmed

77B. BollaDEF
38J. HornDEF
6S. Raux-YaoDEF
55N. CvetkovićDEF
9E. KaraFWD
1N. HedlGK
30N. BajliczMID
10P. DahlMID
8T. AdamsenMID
22Y. DemirMID
18M. SeidlMID
2Eaden RokaDEF
61F. DemirDEF
20K. AhoussouDEF
43M. HaïdaraFWD
71C. M'BuyiFWD
15Nikolaus WurmbrandFWD
7M. TilioFWD
25P. GartlerGK
21L. SchaubMID

Unavailable Players

0 players

Lask Linz

No reported absences

Rapid Vienna

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Over 2.5 Goals1.39 (67.8%)
Both Teams Score1.39 (67.7%)
Value Bets
Lask Linz Win1.93 (47.1%)
Rapid Vienna Win3.38 (32.1%)
Under 2.5 Goals2.83 (32.2%)
BTTS No2.80 (32.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.87 (20.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Arnes Talic has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Lask Linz have averaged 6.4 corners per match at home; Rapid Vienna 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Lask Linz have generated 2.00 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 61% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Lask Linz player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.