TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Tips & Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC
Match Preview
The model favours TSV Hartberg to win against Wolfsberger AC, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Hartberg currently sits in 6th place in the Bundesliga, having garnered 11 points from 8 matches. Their recent form has been strong, with three wins and two draws in their last five fixtures. This consistent performance has been underpinned by their ability to find the net, scoring 14 goals so far this season, although they have also conceded 16. On the other hand, Wolfsberger AC is struggling in 12th place with just 5 points from the same number of matches. Their season has been marked by difficulty, with only one win and five losses to their name. The team's lack of offensive production is evident, as they have scored only 7 goals while conceding 16, contributing to a goal difference of -9. Their recent form features just one win in the last five matches, which highlights their challenges this season. According to the model, TSV Hartberg has a 38.9% chance of winning, while Wolfsberger AC's chances stand at 34.5%. The prediction also suggests a likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 55.9% and both teams to score at 59.0%. However, a potential caveat for Hartberg could be complacency, as they might underestimate a struggling opponent. The full method for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season, as analysed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.6% probability.
TSV Hartberg have been the stronger side, winning 49% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. TSV Hartberg are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
TSV Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.13 | 3.50 | 3.12 | 1.64 | 2.17 | 1.53 | 2.31 | |
| 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.00 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.15 | 3.57 | 3.27 | 1.66 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 2.14 | 3.21 | 2.85 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.15 | 3.70 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.13 | 1.64 | 2.17 | 1.53 | 2.35 | |
Betano | 2.20 | 3.55 | 3.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.55 | 2.30 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.10 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (TSV Hartberg leads 5-3)In the last 10 matches between TSV Hartberg and Wolfsberger AC, TSV Hartberg has won 5 times, Wolfsberger AC has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The results indicate a competitive rivalry, with Hartberg achieving several narrow victories, including three matches decided by a single goal. Notably, the scorelines suggest a mix of close encounters and a few decisive wins, particularly Hartberg's 3-0 victories. The last time Wolfsberger AC won against Hartberg was in May 2023, indicating a recent trend of Hartberg's dominance in this matchup.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 21 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 19 | WLDLW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 5 |  Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 6 |  WSG Wattens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | WLLDW |
| 7 | TSV Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 11 | LWDDW |
| 10 |  Austria Vienna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTSV Hartberg have won 11 of their last 22 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat TSV Hartberg 4-3 and beat TSV Hartberg 5-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 9D 10L from the last 37 games (49% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Wolfsberger AC have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include lost to SCR Altach 3-0 and drew with Parndorf 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 10D 14L from the last 39 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTSV Hartberg
No reported absences
Wolfsberger AC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Josef Spurny has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Josef Spurny to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
TSV Hartberg have averaged 5.2 corners per match at home; Wolfsberger AC 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
TSV Hartberg have generated 0.78 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 49% of them. They put 3.0 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. TSV Hartberg player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
