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WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK Prediction, Tips & Odds

WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK

BundesligaRegular Season - 10
WSG Wattens
#6 · Bundesliga
LWWDW
VS
Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck (16,008)
Referee: Stefan Macanovic
Grazer AK
#8 · Bundesliga
DWWWD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.66 (implied 60.3%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.8% probability (an expert ratio of 1.59). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.8% vs 60.3%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours WSG Wattens to win against Grazer AK, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. WSG Wattens currently sits in 9th place in the Bundesliga standings, having earned 8 points from 8 matches this season. Their form has shown some improvement recently, with two wins in their last five matches, indicating a potential upward trend as they seek to climb the table. Key metrics include their goal difference of -4, which, while not ideal, reflects a team that is capable of finding the net more consistently. On the other hand, Grazer AK is positioned slightly higher in 6th place with 9 points, also from 8 matches. Their performance has been less consistent, with a record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. They have struggled defensively, conceding 16 goals, which highlights vulnerabilities that Wattens could exploit. Despite their recent form being stronger, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches, their overall season performance has not been convincing. The model suggests a win probability of 52% for WSG Wattens, with a notable market indicator being their projected score of 2-1. However, a caveat to consider is that if Grazer AK can tighten their defense and leverage their recent form, they could pose a significant challenge. The full methodology is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where we apply an in-house model that analyzes expected goals alongside actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
WSG Wattens Win42%2.47
Draw23%3.34
Grazer AK Win35%2.68
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6658.6%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.8654.8%

Combined goal output is high (3.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
WSG Wattens 1-1 Grazer AK
6.3115.9%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.

Asian Handicap
WSG Wattens -0.5
2.4536%

WSG Wattens have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.31
15.9%
1-0
8.61
11.6%
0-1
9.09
11.0%
2-1
9.25
10.8%
1-2
9.62
10.4%
0-0
10.56
9.6%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
WSG Wattens
-0.0
1.80
Grazer AK
+0.0
1.96
WSG Wattens
-0.5
2.45
Grazer AK
+0.5
2.62
WSG Wattens
-1.5
5.00
Grazer AK
+1.5
5.50

Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. WSG Wattens are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

WSG Wattens vs Grazer AK
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
Marathonbet
2.483.342.691.841.901.652.08
Betfair
2.453.502.701.871.901.672.15
Pinnacle
2.543.402.761.881.95——
SBO
2.363.112.591.891.93——
William Hill
2.503.102.70——1.622.15
Bet365
2.453.502.701.851.951.702.05
1xBet
2.483.342.691.841.901.652.11
Betano
2.503.352.701.871.911.672.07
BetVictor
2.453.402.631.811.861.652.10

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.6%
Over 1.5 Goals
73.9%
Over 2.5 Goals
54.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
29.7%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XWSG Wattens or Draw
65%1.43
12WSG Wattens or Grazer AK
77%1.30
X2Draw or Grazer AK
58%1.50

Head to Head

Last 9 Meetings (Grazer AK leads 3-2)
2 WSG Wattens4 Draw3 Grazer AK
02 May
Grazer AK
4-0
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
21 Mar
WSG Wattens
1-5
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
08 Mar
WSG Wattens
2-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Aug 25
Grazer AK
1-1
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
May 25
WSG Wattens
1-1
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Mar 25
Grazer AK
0-0
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
Nov 24
Grazer AK
2-1
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
Aug 24
WSG Wattens
0-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
Sept 21
Grazer AK
2-4
WSG Wattens
Cup

In the last nine encounters between WSG Wattens and Grazer AK, WSG Wattens has won 2 matches, drawn 4, and Grazer AK has claimed 3 victories. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several close contests, as evidenced by four matches ending in draws and three games being decided by a single goal. However, there were also two notable heavy wins for Grazer AK, with a 5-1 and a 4-0 scoreline, suggesting that while the overall record is competitive, Grazer AK has had moments of dominance. The last win for WSG Wattens against Grazer AK occurred in September 2021.

Bundesliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Rapid Vienna
98012681824
WWWWL
2
Red Bull Salzburg
96302141721
WDWDW
3
Lask Linz
96122391419
WLDLW
4
Sturm Graz
95221610617
WWLWL
5
Ried
94231615114
WWWDL
6
WSG Wattens
93241214-211
WLLDW
8
Grazer AK
9234722-159
LDDWD
10
Austria Vienna
9216918-97
LLDWL
11
SCR Altach
9207815-76
LWLLL
12
Wolfsberger AC
9126718-115
LLLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
WSG WattensHome
0W2D2L
4 playedGF 4 · GA 80.50 pts/game
Grazer AKAway
1W0D4L
5 playedGF 3 · GA 190.60 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
WSG WattensGrazer AK
1.94Goals p.g.1.58
1.44Goals conceded p.g.1.33
36%Clean sheets28%
36%Win rate42%
3.39Avg goals in match2.92
1.50xG per game1.31
-0.05xGA per game-0.06
44%Possession %44%
3.6Shots on target / game3.5
5.4Corners per game4.5
WSG Wattens
Recent Form

WSG Wattens have won 4 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ried 1-2 and drew with TSV Hartberg 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 14L from the last 36 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: WSG WattensAll competitions
10 Oct
WSG Wattens
1-2
Ried
Bundesliga
01 Oct
SSV Jahn Regensburg
0-6
WSG Wattens
Friendlies Clubs
24 Sept
FC Liefering
0-1
WSG Wattens
Friendlies Clubs
13 Sept
WSG Wattens
2-2
TSV Hartberg
Bundesliga
05 Sept
Leithaprodersdorf
0-4
WSG Wattens
Cup
02 Sept
Austria Vienna
0-1
WSG Wattens
Bundesliga
13
Win
36%
9
Draw
25%
14
Lost
39%
Grazer AK
Recent Form

Grazer AK have won 6 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 9. Their recent away fixtures include beat Kalsdorf 1-5 and beat SCR Altach 1-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 15W 9D 12L from the last 36 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Grazer AKAll competitions
10 Oct
Grazer AK
0-0
Red Bull Salzburg
Bundesliga
30 Sept
Kalsdorf
1-5
Grazer AK
Friendlies Clubs
12 Sept
SCR Altach
1-2
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
06 Sept
Kitzbühel
0-2
Grazer AK
Cup
29 Aug
Grazer AK
0-0
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
21 Aug
Ried
1-0
Grazer AK
Bundesliga
15
Win
42%
9
Draw
25%
12
Lost
33%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

WSG Wattens

No reported absences

Grazer AK

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Both Teams Score1.66 (58.6%)
Value Bets
WSG Wattens Win2.47 (42.2%)
Grazer AK Win2.68 (34.5%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.86 (54.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.91 (45.2%)
BTTS No2.10 (41.4%)
Speculative
Draw3.34 (23.2%)

Yellow Card Prediction

Stefan Macanovic has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Stefan Macanovic to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

WSG Wattens have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Grazer AK 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

WSG Wattens have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. WSG Wattens player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.