Leevon / PPK vs Skanste Prediction, Tips & Odds
Leevon / PPK vs Skanste
Match Preview
The model favours Leevon / PPK in this matchup, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in fourth place, Leevon / PPK has performed respectably this season with seven wins from twelve matches, accumulating 24 points. Their goals for and against record shows a positive goal difference of five, indicating a solid attacking unit, though recent form has been mixed with just one win in their last five matches. On the other hand, Skanste finds itself in ninth place with just 13 points from the same number of matches. They have struggled significantly this season, managing only four victories and suffering seven defeats. Their goal difference of -4 suggests defensive vulnerabilities, which could be a critical factor in this fixture. Moreover, Skanste's recent form is concerning, with only one win in their last five games and four consecutive losses. The model output gives Leevon / PPK a win probability of approximately 60%, while the key market percentage indicates that they are favoured to win by a margin of around 50%. However, a potential risk for Leevon / PPK could be their recent inconsistency, which might allow Skanste to capitalize if they perform above expectations. The full methodology behind this prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as the analysis is based on expected goals and actual results across the season, conducted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Leevon / PPK have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Leevon / PPK win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Leevon / PPK clean sheets, in line with their 19% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Leevon / PPK are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Leevon / PPK vs Skanste| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.40 | 4.50 | 5.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.39 | 4.50 | 5.85 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.49 | 2.34 | |
| 1.36 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.39 | 4.61 | 5.59 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.37 | 4.12 | 4.84 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.00 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.45 | 4.33 | 5.00 | 1.40 | 2.75 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.07 | 1.33 | 2.81 | 1.49 | 2.39 | |
Betano | 1.44 | 4.50 | 5.10 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 1.44 | 4.45 | 5.15 | 1.36 | 2.72 | 1.51 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Leevon / PPK leads 3-1)In the last six matches between Leevon / PPK and Skanste, Leevon / PPK has won 3 times, Skanste has won once, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive series, with Leevon / PPK achieving narrow victories, including a 2-0 and a 1-2 win, alongside a heavier 4-2 win. Skanste's lone victory was a decisive 3-0 win, which stands out as the only match with a significant margin. The frequency of draws and close scorelines suggests that while Leevon / PPK has the upper hand, the matches have often been tightly contested.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Riga Mariners | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 | LWWWD |
| 4 | Leevon / PPK | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 27 | WLLDW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 23 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LWLLL |
| 9 | Skanste | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 13 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Rīgas FS II | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 9 | LDLWW |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 7 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 5 | LDLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonLeevon / PPK have won 7 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Riga Mariners 2-1 and lost to Riga 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 6L from the last 26 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Skanste have won 5 of their last 13 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Metta / LU 3-1 and beat Smiltene 2-4.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 11L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersLeevon / PPK
No reported absences
Skanste
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Leevon / PPK average 1.8 goals per match at home; Skanste 1.5 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Leevon / PPK have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 1.8 goals per game. Leevon / PPK player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
