JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova 2 Prediction, Tips & Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova 2
Match Preview
The model favours JDFS Alberts to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned fifth in the league, Alberts have amassed 20 points from 12 matches, demonstrating a solid offensive output with 25 goals scored. Their goal difference of +5 indicates a balanced performance, although their recent form shows some inconsistency with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Super Nova 2 sits in seventh place, just one point behind Alberts with 19 points from their 12 games. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 17, resulting in a goal difference of +2. Their form is slightly better than Alberts', with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to remain competitive. The model gives JDFS Alberts a win probability of around 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of both teams scoring, which stands at 60%. However, a potential caveat for Alberts could be their tendency to concede goals, which might open the door for Super Nova to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a comprehensive understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.4 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.1% probability.
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 JDFS Alberts win as the most likely scoreline at 13.1% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature JDFS Alberts clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. JDFS Alberts are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova 2| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.36 | 4.40 | 6.00 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.39 | 4.50 | 5.85 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.63 | 2.06 | |
| 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.00 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.41 | 4.44 | 5.21 | 1.40 | 2.62 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.00 | 5.80 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.45 | 4.20 | 5.25 | 1.44 | 2.62 | — | — | |
| 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.07 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.63 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.42 | 4.55 | 5.30 | — | — | — | — |
Superbet | 1.42 | 4.35 | 5.50 | 1.39 | 2.62 | 1.56 | 2.27 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Super Nova 2 leads 1-0)In their only recorded match, Super Nova 2 has a 1-0 advantage over JDFS Alberts, having won 2-1. This single fixture indicates a competitive contest, with Super Nova 2 securing a narrow victory. The scoreline suggests that while the match was closely contested, Super Nova 2 managed to edge out JDFS Alberts. Since this is the only historical meeting, it does not provide a comprehensive picture of their rivalry or any trends.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 69 | 14 | 55 | 41 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 36 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 35 | WWDLW |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 28 | WDDWL |
| 6 | Super Nova 2 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 23 | WLDLD |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 46 | -33 | 5 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonJDFS Alberts have won 9 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Riga FC II 2-0 and drew with Super Nova 2 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 6D 7L from the last 28 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Super Nova 2 have won 2 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Super Nova 2 0-2 and drew with JDFS Alberts 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 5D 5L from the last 16 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersJDFS Alberts
No reported absences
Super Nova 2
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
JDFS Alberts average 2.0 goals per match at home; Super Nova 2 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
JDFS Alberts have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 54% of their matches and averaging 2.0 goals per game. JDFS Alberts player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
