JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova 2 Prediction, Tips & Odds

JDFS Alberts vs Super Nova 2

1. LigaRegular Season - 14
JDFS Alberts
#5 · 1. Liga
LWLDW
VS
Super Nova 2
#7 · 1. Liga
DWLDW

Match Preview

The model favours JDFS Alberts to win with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned fifth in the league, Alberts have amassed 20 points from 12 matches, demonstrating a solid offensive output with 25 goals scored. Their goal difference of +5 indicates a balanced performance, although their recent form shows some inconsistency with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. On the other hand, Super Nova 2 sits in seventh place, just one point behind Alberts with 19 points from their 12 games. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 17, resulting in a goal difference of +2. Their form is slightly better than Alberts', with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, highlighting their ability to remain competitive. The model gives JDFS Alberts a win probability of around 55%, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of both teams scoring, which stands at 60%. However, a potential caveat for Alberts could be their tendency to concede goals, which might open the door for Super Nova to capitalize on any defensive lapses. For a comprehensive understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis is brought to you by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Super Nova 2 leads 1-0)
0 JDFS Alberts0 Draw1 Super Nova 2
20 Mar
Super Nova 2
2-1
JDFS Alberts
1. Liga

Super Nova 2 hold the edge in this fixture, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings with 0 draws and 0 JDFS Alberts wins. The record points to a tie Super Nova 2 have controlled for years, though the draws show JDFS Alberts have at times kept it tight.

1. Liga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Metta / LU
13111146113534
WWWWD
2
Valmiera / BSS
13102135122332
WWWWD
3
Riga Mariners
1384126121428
LWWWD
4
Leevon / PPK
138322216627
WLLDW
5
JDFS Alberts
137242821723
WLWDW
6
Mārupe
136162219319
LWLLL
7
Super Nova 2
125431917219
DWLDW
12
Tukums II
122281631-158
LLLLD
13
Rēzekne FA
121291036-265
DLLWL
14
Smiltene
120481233-214
LLLDL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
JDFS AlbertsHome
4W1D1L
6 playedGF 14 · GA 72.17 pts/game
Super Nova 2Away
1W3D1L
5 playedGF 8 · GA 101.20 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
JDFS AlbertsSuper Nova 2
2.04Goals p.g.1.58
1.21Goals conceded p.g.1.42
33%Clean sheets25%
54%Win rate42%
3.25Avg goals in match3
JDFS Alberts
Recent Form

JDFS Alberts have won 8 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Riga Mariners 0-4 and drew with Leevon / PPK 0-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 4D 7L from the last 24 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: JDFS AlbertsAll competitions
04 Jul
JDFS Alberts
0-4
Riga Mariners
1. Liga
27 Jun
Rēzekne FA
2-4
JDFS Alberts
1. Liga
20 Jun
Riga Mariners
1-0
JDFS Alberts
Cup
13 Jun
JDFS Alberts
0-0
Leevon / PPK
1. Liga
31 May
JDFS Alberts
6-1
Tukums II
1. Liga
27 May
Iecava
0-5
JDFS Alberts
Cup
13
Win
54%
4
Draw
17%
7
Lost
29%
Super Nova 2
Recent Form

Super Nova 2 have won 1 of their last 5 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Super Nova 2 1-1 and lost to Metta / LU 7-3.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 4D 3L from the last 12 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Super Nova 2All competitions
05 Jul
Rīgas FS II
1-1
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
27 Jun
Super Nova 2
3-1
Tukums II
1. Liga
13 Jun
Metta / LU
7-3
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
26 May
Super Nova 2
0-0
Valmiera / BSS
1. Liga
13 May
Smiltene
0-2
Super Nova 2
1. Liga
09 May
Super Nova 2
1-0
Rēzekne FA
1. Liga
5
Win
42%
4
Draw
33%
3
Lost
25%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

JDFS Alberts

No reported absences

Super Nova 2

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.