Rangers vs ST Johnstone Prediction, Tips & Odds
Rangers vs ST Johnstone
Match Preview
The model favours Rangers to win against St Johnstone, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rangers are currently at the top of the Premiership standings, having played eight matches with an impressive record of six wins, one draw, and only one loss. Their strong goal difference of +6, alongside scoring 11 goals while conceding just 5, highlights their solid performance this season. In contrast, St Johnstone sits in seventh place with a record of two wins, two draws, and three losses from seven matches. Their goal difference of -1 indicates they have conceded more goals than they have scored, with 10 goals against 9 for. Their recent form has been inconsistent, managing just one win in their last five matches, which could be a concern as they face a formidable opponent. According to the model, Rangers have a win probability of 72.4%, while St Johnstone's chances of winning stand at 10.1%. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 60.1%. One caveat to consider is the potential for an unexpected defensive lapse from Rangers, which could open the door for St Johnstone to capitalize. For a detailed understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyses expected goals and actual results across the season. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
Rangers have been the stronger side, winning 55% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-0 Rangers win as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Rangers clean sheets, in line with their 33% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 2 bookmakers. Rangers are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Rangers vs ST Johnstone| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.27 | 5.40 | 9.70 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.93 | 1.76 | |
| 1.29 | 5.00 | 9.50 | — | — | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 1.28 | 5.25 | 8.50 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.28 | 5.40 | 9.60 | 1.56 | 2.33 | 1.93 | 1.78 | |
Betano | 1.32 | 5.50 | 9.00 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.95 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Rangers leads 9-1)In the last 10 matches between Rangers and St Johnstone, Rangers have won 9 times while St Johnstone has secured just 1 victory, with no draws. The scorelines indicate a largely one-sided rivalry, with Rangers often winning by two or more goals, highlighted by multiple 2-0 and 3-1 results. St Johnstone's only win came in November 2022, suggesting a significant gap in performance, as they have struggled to find consistent success against Rangers in recent encounters. Overall, the historical data reflects Rangers' dominance in this fixture.
Premiership Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Celtic | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Rangers | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 19 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 16 | WDLWW |
| 4 |  Dundee | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 | WWLDL |
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 11 | WDLWD |
| 6 |  Dundee Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 | WWDLW |
| 10 |  Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 | LDLLL |
| 11 |  Falkirk | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Kilmarnock | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 | LDWDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRangers have won 12 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Kilmarnock 3-1 and beat Celtic 3-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 18W 8D 7L from the last 33 games (55% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
ST Johnstone have won 8 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat ST Johnstone 0-1 and drew with Dundee 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 3D 4L from the last 20 games (65% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersRangers
No reported absences
ST Johnstone
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Rangers have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; ST Johnstone 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rangers have generated 1.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 55% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rangers player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.