RB Bragantino vs Mirassol Prediction, Tips & Odds
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol
Match Preview
The model favours RB Bragantino to win with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 against Mirassol. Currently sitting in 10th place, Bragantino has experienced a mixed season with 10 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses from 27 matches, accumulating 36 points. Their goal difference of +2 indicates a slightly stronger attacking presence than their defensive capabilities, and their recent form shows a need for improvement, with just one win in their last five outings. Mirassol, positioned 15th, is struggling this season with 8 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses from 28 matches, resulting in 32 points. Their goal difference of -9 highlights defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded 42 goals while scoring 33. However, Mirassol's recent form has been slightly better, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, suggesting they are capable of competing. The model assigns a win probability of 52.9% for RB Bragantino, while the likelihood of a draw is 26.0% and Mirassol has a 21.0% chance of winning. One key market percentage indicates over 2.5 goals at 51.3%. A potential caveat for Bragantino could be their inconsistent form, which might allow Mirassol to exploit any defensive lapses. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model analyzing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.5% probability.
RB Bragantino have been the stronger side, winning 35% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.5% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature RB Bragantino clean sheets, in line with their 29% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. RB Bragantino are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
RB Bragantino vs Mirassol| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.63 | 3.92 | 4.85 | 1.67 | 2.12 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 1.60 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 1.63 | 4.22 | 5.35 | 1.67 | 2.28 | — | — | |
| 1.60 | 3.62 | 4.49 | 1.72 | 2.13 | — | — | |
| 1.65 | 3.80 | 4.60 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.62 | 3.90 | 5.50 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.68 | 4.04 | 5.00 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.67 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 1.67 | 4.20 | 5.30 | 1.70 | 2.22 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.62 | 4.10 | 5.00 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.65 | 2.10 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (RB Bragantino leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between RB Bragantino and Mirassol, RB Bragantino has won 4 times, with 4 draws and 2 victories for Mirassol. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several closely contested matches, including four draws. Notably, RB Bragantino has recorded a few narrow wins, such as 1-0 and 1-1 results, while Mirassol's victories include a 2-1 win, suggesting they can challenge their opponents. The last win for Mirassol came in January 2022, indicating they may need to improve to turn the tide in this matchup.
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 36 | 67 | WWDWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 66 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 53 | LWDWD |
| 4 |  Cruzeiro | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 51 | WLWWL |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 51 | LLWWL |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 50 | WWDWD |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 | DWDLL |
| 14 | Mirassol | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 36 | WLDWD |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 26 | DDDLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonRB Bragantino have won 12 of their last 25 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent home fixtures include beat RB Bragantino 4-2 and drew with RB Bragantino 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 15D 16L from the last 48 games (35% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Mirassol have won 5 of their last 24 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Bahia 1-0 and drew with RB Bragantino 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 15D 18L from the last 49 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedRB Bragantino4-2-3-1Confirmed
Mirassol4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
7 playersRB Bragantino5
Mirassol2
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Raphael Claus has averaged 0.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
RB Bragantino have averaged 7.8 corners per match at home; Mirassol 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
RB Bragantino have generated 1.62 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 35% of them. They put 7.3 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. RB Bragantino player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
