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Remo vs Vitoria Prediction, Tips & Odds

Remo vs Vitoria

Serie ARegular Season - 20
Remo
#19 · Serie A
DLDLW
2 - 0
Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem
Referee: F. Rodrigues
Vitoria
#13 · Serie A
WLLLD
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.80
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.77 (implied 56.5%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 59.0% probability (an expert ratio of 1.69). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (59.0% vs 56.5%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Vitoria to win against Remo, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Vitoria currently sits in 13th place in the Serie A standings, having accumulated 22 points from 17 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced attack and defence, scoring 21 goals while conceding 25. Recent form is strong, with four wins in their last five matches, illustrating a positive trend as they look to secure a mid-table finish. In contrast, Remo finds themselves in a precarious position, sitting 18th with just 18 points from 18 games. Their record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses has left them struggling, particularly with a goal difference of -8. While they have shown some resilience with three wins in their last five matches, their overall season performance has not been enough to lift them out of the relegation zone. According to the model's analysis, Vitoria has a higher win probability, reflecting their superior form and standings. However, a potential caveat for Vitoria could be complacency against a lower-ranked opponent like Remo, which could lead to an unexpected result. The full methodology, based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season, is explained in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team provides this data-driven insight to help inform your betting decisions.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Remo Win41%2.22
Draw24%3.32
Vitoria Win36%3.21
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.7754.2%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.7850.4%

Remo manage games at home, conceding just 1.39 goals per match. Vitoria score 1.65 on the road.

Correct Score
Remo 1-1 Vitoria
5.9616.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
Remo -0.5
2.1535%

Remo have been the stronger side, winning 28% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
5.96
16.8%
1-0
7.02
14.3%
2-1
8.44
11.9%
0-1
8.78
11.4%
0-0
8.98
11.2%
2-0
9.94
10.2%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Remo clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Remo
-0.0
1.60
Vitoria
+0.0
2.29
Remo
-0.3
1.93
Vitoria
+0.3
2.75
Remo
-0.5
2.15
Vitoria
+0.5
3.10
Remo
-1.5
4.50
Vitoria
+1.5
7.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Remo are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Remo vs Vitoria
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.203.403.152.001.801.771.95
Marathonbet
2.203.283.202.011.771.771.92
Betfair
2.253.203.101.951.751.732.00
Pinnacle
2.283.433.292.081.82
SBO
2.153.223.192.071.79
William Hill
2.153.203.101.751.95
Bet365
2.253.403.202.001.801.801.95
1xBet
2.273.383.272.051.801.771.94
Unibet
2.183.253.352.041.741.761.94
Betano
2.253.453.202.051.801.801.95
Superbet
2.253.353.252.021.801.801.95
BetVictor
2.253.303.201.941.741.751.95

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
89.7%
Over 1.5 Goals
71.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
26.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XRemo or Draw
64%1.33
12Remo or Vitoria
76%1.30
X2Draw or Vitoria
60%1.65

Head to Head

Last 4 Meetings (Remo leads 2-1)
2 Remo1 Draw1 Vitoria
28 Jan
Vitoria
2-0
Remo
Serie A
Apr 22
Remo
2-1
Vitoria
Serie C
Sept 21
Vitoria
1-2
Remo
Serie B
Jun 21
Remo
0-0
Vitoria
Serie B

In the last four encounters between Remo and Vitoria, Remo has won 2 matches, drawn 1, and Vitoria has won 1. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with two matches ending in narrow victories and one match resulting in a goalless draw. The only heavier win came from Vitoria, who secured a 2-0 victory in January 2026. Overall, the results suggest a competitive rivalry, with no side dominating and both teams capable of securing points against each other.

Serie A Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Palmeiras
22146238162248
DWLWW
2
Flamengo
21126339182142
WDDWW
3
Atletico Paranaense
22124630191140
WDWWW
4
Fluminense
229853126535
DDDDD
5
Cruzeiro
229673031-133
WWLWD
6
Bahia
228952925433
DDDDW
13
Vitoria
2275102233-1126
LLLDW
19
Remo
2257102636-1022
DLWLW
20
Chapecoense B
2017121941-2210
20
Chapecoense-sc
2117132043-2310
LDLLL

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
RemoHome
3W5D3L
11 playedGF 15 · GA 131.27 pts/game
VitoriaAway
0W4D8L
12 playedGF 7 · GA 260.33 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
RemoVitoria
1.22Goals p.g.1.65
1.39Goals conceded p.g.1.38
17%Clean sheets32%
28%Win rate48%
2.61Avg goals in match3.02
0.99xG per game0.87
-0.07xGA per game-0.13
42%Possession %44%
3.7Shots on target / game4.1
4.6Corners per game3.7
Remo
Recent Form

Remo have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Atletico-MG 2-2 and lost to Santos 0-1.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 13D 13L from the last 36 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: RemoAll competitions
08 Aug
Remo
2-2
Atletico-MG
Serie A
05 Aug
Remo
0-1
Santos
Copa Do Brasil
02 Aug
Santos
0-0
Remo
Copa Do Brasil
29 Jul
Mirassol
2-1
Remo
Serie A
26 Jul
Remo
2-0
Vitoria
Serie A
23 Jul
Corinthians
3-0
Remo
Serie A
10
Win
28%
13
Draw
36%
13
Lost
36%
Vitoria
Recent Form

Vitoria have won 4 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Atletico Paranaense 2-0 and lost to Remo 2-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 19W 8D 13L from the last 40 games (48% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: VitoriaAll competitions
06 Aug
Vitoria
4-0
Atletico Paranaense
Copa Do Brasil
04 Aug
Atletico Paranaense
2-0
Vitoria
Copa Do Brasil
30 Jul
Vitoria
0-4
Palmeiras
Serie A
26 Jul
Remo
2-0
Vitoria
Serie A
23 Jul
Botafogo
0-0
Vitoria
Serie A
16 Jul
Vitoria
1-0
Vasco DA Gama
Serie A
19
Win
48%
8
Draw
20%
13
Lost
33%

Lineups

Confirmed

Remo4-3-3Confirmed

77MaykDEF
4Matheus FelipeDEF
79MarcelinhoDEF
27Zé IvaldoDEF
7JajáFWD
11Alef MangaFWD
22Yago PikachuFWD
88Marcelo RangelGK
14Leonel PiccoMID
55Zé RicardoMID
28Zé WelisonMID
2Matheus AlexandreDEF
5LéoDEF
15Vitor BuenoFWD
10JádersonFWD
9Gabriel PovedaFWD
19Gabriel TaliariFWD
97IvanGK
94Ygor VinhasGK
61TicoMID
35Edson FernandoMID
8PatrickMID
26David BragaMID

Vitoria4-2-3-1Confirmed

83JamersonDEF
13RamonDEF
36Luan CândidoDEF
25CacáDEF
91Renê SousaFWD
1Lucas ArcanjoGK
88Zé VitorMID
44Gabriel BaralhasMID
33ErickMID
95Caique GonçalvesMID
12Diego TarziaMID
15WalaceDEF
70Fabiano SouzaDEF
98MateusinhoDEF
2Emanuel BrítezDEF
20Lucas SilvaFWD
23Fabrício SantosFWD
7MarinhoFWD
79Renato KayzerFWD
71Yuri SenaGK
26EdenilsonMID
8Tomás PochettinoMID
10MatheuzinhoMID

Unavailable Players

15 players

Remo5

D. Tchamba
Missing FixtureInjury
Eduardo Melo
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury
Joao Lucas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Marllon
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Patrick de Paula
Missing FixtureGroin Injury

Vitoria10

A. Cantalapiedra
Missing FixturePersonal Reasons
Anderson
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Camutanga
Missing FixtureBroken Leg
Dudu
Missing FixtureBack Injury
Edu
Missing FixtureAchilles Tendon Injury
Emmanuel Martinez
Missing FixtureYellow Cards
Nathan Mendes
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Ramos
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
Riccieli
Missing FixtureCalf Injury
Ze Vitor
QuestionableInjury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Remo Win2.22 (40.5%)
Vitoria Win3.21 (35.7%)
Over 2.5 Goals2.02 (49.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.78 (50.4%)
Both Teams Score1.77 (54.2%)
BTTS No1.95 (45.8%)
Speculative
Draw3.32 (23.8%)

Yellow Card Prediction

F. Rodrigues has averaged 7.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.

Corner Prediction

Remo have averaged 4.6 corners per match at home; Vitoria 3.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Remo have generated 0.99 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 28% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Remo player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.