Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Teda Prediction, Tips & Odds
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Teda
Match Preview
The model favours Shanghai Shenhua to win against Tianjin Teda, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Currently positioned 9th in the league, Shanghai Shenhua has shown solid form with three wins in their last five matches. They have scored 36 goals this season while conceding 27, showcasing a positive goal difference of 9. This offensive strength, combined with their recent performances, makes them the stronger contender in this matchup. On the other hand, Tianjin Teda finds themselves in 15th place, struggling with only four wins from 17 matches. Their goal tally of 22 goals scored and 22 conceded indicates a lack of offensive firepower, as they have not been able to convert draws into wins consistently. With just 8 points, their position reflects ongoing challenges, and while they have shown some resilience in their recent form, it may not be enough against a more competent opponent. The model output suggests a win probability of around 65% for Shanghai Shenhua, with the predicted score reflecting their stronger position and recent form. However, one caveat is that if Tianjin Teda can manage to score early, it could disrupt Shanghai's rhythm and lead to a tighter contest. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, based on an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
Shanghai Shenhua have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 2-1 Shanghai Shenhua win as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Shanghai Shenhua clean sheets, in line with their 19% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Shanghai Shenhua are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Teda| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.44 | 4.45 | 5.90 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 2.10 | |
| 1.46 | 4.45 | 5.90 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 1.61 | 2.15 | |
| 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.50 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.65 | 2.20 | |
| 1.50 | 4.72 | 6.03 | 1.51 | 2.60 | — | — | |
| 1.41 | 4.08 | 5.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.80 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.15 | |
| 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.50 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 1.50 | 4.58 | 6.08 | 1.57 | 2.55 | 1.61 | 2.18 | |
| 1.42 | 4.60 | 6.40 | 1.48 | 2.43 | 1.62 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.50 | 1.50 | 2.45 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
Superbet | 1.39 | 4.85 | 6.30 | 1.48 | 2.47 | 1.67 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.40 | 5.75 | 1.49 | 2.39 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Shanghai Shenhua leads 5-2)In the last 10 matches between Shanghai Shenhua and Tianjin Teda, Shanghai Shenhua has won 5 times, drawn 3, and Tianjin Teda has won 2. The scorelines indicate that while Shenhua has secured a majority of the victories, several matches have been closely contested, with four games ending in a draw or by a single goal. Notably, the most recent match saw a tight 2-3 victory for Shenhua, and the last win for Tianjin Teda was in July 2023. Overall, the head-to-head record suggests a competitive rivalry, though Shenhua has had the upper hand historically.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 30 | DLLLD |
| 13 | Shanghai Shenhua | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 22 | WLLLW |
| 14 | Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonShanghai Shenhua have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Shanghai Shenhua 4-1 and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 8D 12L from the last 32 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Tianjin Teda have won 4 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Qingdao Jonoon 0-2 and beat Shanghai Shenhua 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 9D 11L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersShanghai Shenhua
No reported absences
Tianjin Teda
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Shanghai Shenhua have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Tianjin Teda 4.3 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.6 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Shanghai Shenhua have generated 1.43 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Shanghai Shenhua player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
