SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City Prediction, Tips & Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City
Match Preview
The model favours Chengdu Better City to win against Shanghai SIPG, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Chengdu currently sits at the top of the Super League standings with 52 points from 26 matches, boasting a strong record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses. Their goal difference of +21 highlights their offensive capabilities, having scored 51 goals while conceding only 30. Although their recent form shows inconsistency with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, their overall season performance has established them as a formidable opponent. On the other hand, Shanghai SIPG is positioned 7th in the league with 33 points from 26 games, having recorded 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of +7 indicates a more balanced but less potent attack compared to Chengdu, with 40 goals scored and 33 conceded. However, SIPG has shown improvement in their recent form, winning four of their last five matches, which could provide them with confidence heading into this fixture. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Chengdu Better City, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market indicator is that Chengdu is favoured to win by a narrow margin. One caveat is that if Shanghai SIPG continues their recent form, they could pose a significant challenge. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, created by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which uses an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.9% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 38% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chengdu Better City| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.96 | 3.85 | 3.16 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.61 | |
| 2.00 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.44 | 2.70 | — | — | |
| 2.00 | 3.84 | 3.38 | 1.50 | 2.57 | — | — | |
| 1.92 | 3.28 | 2.83 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.00 | 3.80 | 3.10 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.62 | |
| 2.03 | 3.99 | 3.28 | 1.42 | 2.49 | 1.42 | 2.66 | |
Betano | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.25 | 1.47 | 2.50 | 1.44 | 2.60 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.20 | 1.44 | 2.63 | 1.40 | 2.70 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Chengdu Better City leads 5-4)The head-to-head record between Shanghai SIPG and Chengdu Better City shows a slight advantage for Chengdu, with 5 wins compared to Shanghai's 4 and 1 draw in their last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with several matches featuring significant margins, such as Chengdu's 4-1 and 3-1 victories. However, Shanghai also achieved two dominant 4-0 wins in the FA Cup. Overall, the results suggest a competitive rivalry, but Chengdu has been more successful recently, winning 5 of the last 6 matches.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 31 | 20 | 52 | LDWLW |
| 2 |  Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52 | 33 | 19 | 41 | WDDDW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 40 | WDWDL |
| 4 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 26 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 38 | DDWDD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 38 | LWLDW |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 37 | DWLWW |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 35 | 9 | 36 | WDWWD |
| 14 |  Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 | LLLDL |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 21 | LDDWD |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSHANGHAI SIPG have won 5 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 7 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 0-0 and beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 13L from the last 40 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Chengdu Better City have won 8 of their last 22 matches on the road, drawing 9 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Henan Jianye 0-0 and beat Hangzhou Greentown 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 13D 9L from the last 38 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Chengdu Better City
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG have averaged 5.0 corners per match at home; Chengdu Better City 5.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.4 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.39 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 38% of them. They put 5.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
