SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Zhixing Prediction, Tips & Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Zhixing
Match Preview
The model favours a narrow win for Shanghai SIPG, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Dalian Zhixing. Currently positioned 12th in the league, Shanghai SIPG has had a mixed season with five wins, five draws, and seven losses, accumulating 15 points. Their goal difference of +2 indicates a relatively balanced performance, with 26 goals scored and 24 conceded. Recent form shows some improvement, with two wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are starting to find their rhythm. On the other hand, Dalian Zhixing sits in 3rd place, having secured eight wins, one draw, and eight losses, totaling 25 points. Despite their strong position, they have struggled defensively, conceding 31 goals, resulting in a goal difference of -6. Their recent form reflects inconsistency, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, which could impact their confidence heading into this fixture. According to the model, Shanghai SIPG has a 48.8% chance of winning, while Dalian Zhixing has a 26.1% chance. The prediction includes a notable likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 60.5% and both teams to score at 61.2%. A caveat to consider is that inconsistency in performance could affect Shanghai SIPG's ability to maintain their advantage, especially against a team like Dalian Zhixing that has shown potential this season. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, provided by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.2% probability.
SHANGHAI SIPG have been the stronger side, winning 25% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. SHANGHAI SIPG are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Dalian Zhixing| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.92 | 3.40 | 3.65 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.45 | 2.40 | |
| 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.42 | 1.50 | 2.28 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 1.91 | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.50 | 2.55 | 1.50 | 2.55 | |
| 2.00 | 3.87 | 3.56 | 1.58 | 2.45 | — | — | |
| 1.80 | 3.26 | 3.18 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.01 | 3.76 | 3.52 | 1.59 | 2.46 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 1.91 | 3.70 | 3.55 | 1.55 | 2.25 | 1.52 | 2.33 | |
| 1.95 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.53 | 2.30 | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 1.93 | 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.57 | 2.30 | 1.52 | 2.37 |
Superbet | 1.92 | 3.65 | 3.50 | 1.55 | 2.30 | 1.51 | 2.37 |
BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.20 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.45 | 2.50 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 2-1)The head-to-head record between Shanghai SIPG and Dalian Zhixing stands at 2 wins for Shanghai SIPG, 0 draws, and 1 win for Dalian Zhixing. The matches have shown a competitive edge for Shanghai SIPG, particularly highlighted by a 3-0 victory in their last encounter. Dalian Zhixing's sole win came in a narrow 1-0 match, indicating that while Dalian has secured a win, the overall results lean towards Shanghai SIPG, with two of their victories being by a margin of at least two goals. This suggests that while Dalian Zhixing can compete, they have struggled to maintain consistency against Shanghai SIPG.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 29 | DDLWL |
| 3 | Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 25 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 13 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 16 | DLWLD |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 11 | WLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSHANGHAI SIPG have won 3 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1-1 and drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 7W 9D 12L from the last 28 games (25% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Dalian Zhixing have won 2 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Langfang Glory City 1-1 and lost to Tianjin Teda 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 5D 13L from the last 26 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Dalian Zhixing
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
SHANGHAI SIPG have averaged 4.9 corners per match at home; Dalian Zhixing 7.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
SHANGHAI SIPG have generated 1.23 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 25% of them. They put 3.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. SHANGHAI SIPG player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.