Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction, Tips & Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island
Match Preview
The model favours Sichuan Jiuniu to win this match against Qingdao Youth Island, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sichuan Jiuniu currently sits in 11th place in the league, having played 17 matches with a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses. Their recent form shows improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, which suggests they are beginning to find their rhythm. With 22 goals scored and 31 conceded, their goal difference of -9 indicates some defensive vulnerabilities, but their attacking capabilities have started to shine through lately. On the other hand, Qingdao Youth Island is positioned 5th in the standings, boasting a record of 5 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses from 17 games. They have accumulated 24 points and have a goal difference of -3, scoring 22 goals while conceding 25. Their recent form is solid as well, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches, with two wins and three draws. However, they have struggled to convert draws into wins, which could be a concern in tight match situations. The model gives Sichuan Jiuniu a win probability of 39.9%, with a 28.2% chance of a draw and a 31.9% chance for Qingdao Youth Island to win. One key market to note is the over 2.5 goals probability at 52.4%. A caveat for Sichuan Jiuniu is their defensive record, which could be exploited by Qingdao if they find their attacking rhythm. The full methodology of our prediction can be found in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team through an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Sichuan Jiuniu have been the stronger side, winning 33% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Sichuan Jiuniu are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Qingdao Youth Island| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.94 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.55 | 2.20 | |
| 2.27 | 3.34 | 2.95 | 1.73 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.22 | |
| 2.30 | 3.50 | 2.80 | 1.73 | 2.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | |
| 2.28 | 3.50 | 3.17 | 1.76 | 2.11 | — | — | |
| 2.23 | 3.08 | 2.65 | 1.77 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 2.25 | 3.25 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.10 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.34 | 3.44 | 3.04 | 1.76 | 2.09 | 1.57 | 2.26 | |
| 2.32 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
Betano | 2.22 | 3.35 | 3.00 | 1.75 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
Superbet | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.95 | 1.75 | 1.97 | 1.61 | 2.17 |
BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.40 | 2.88 | 1.69 | 2.00 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Qingdao Youth Island leads 8-0)In the last nine matches between Sichuan Jiuniu and Qingdao Youth Island, Qingdao has won eight times, while there has been one draw. This record indicates a dominant performance by Qingdao, with only one match ending in a stalemate. The scorelines reveal that Sichuan has struggled, with several narrow defeats, including four matches lost by a single goal, but they also suffered a heavy loss of 1-4 in one encounter. Sichuan's last victory over Qingdao dates back to before this sample, showcasing the challenges they face in this matchup.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 43 | DDDWW |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 29 | DDLWL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 28 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 25 | DLWLD |
| 5 | Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 25 | DLWWD |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 24 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 20 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 11 | WWLWD |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 11 | WLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSichuan Jiuniu have won 7 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0 and lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 2-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 4D 16L from the last 30 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Qingdao Youth Island have won 5 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 3-0 and drew with Xi'an Ronghai 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 13D 7L from the last 29 games (31% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Qingdao Youth Island
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Sichuan Jiuniu have averaged 5.8 corners per match at home; Qingdao Youth Island 4.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Sichuan Jiuniu have generated 1.33 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 33% of them. They put 3.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Sichuan Jiuniu player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
