Skanste vs JFK Ventspils Prediction, Tips & Odds
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils
Match Preview
The model favours Skanste to win this match against JFK Ventspils, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Skanste currently sits in 9th place in the league, having accumulated 13 points from 11 matches. Their recent form shows a mixed bag with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, but they have managed to score 20 goals this season, which suggests they can create chances despite their negative goal difference of -1. On the other hand, JFK Ventspils is struggling at the bottom of the table in 12th place with only 7 points from the same number of matches. Their season has been characterised by just one win, four draws, and six losses, resulting in a goal difference of -8. While they have shown some resilience recently, with two wins in their last five matches, their overall scoring record of only 12 goals is concerning and highlights their struggles in front of goal. According to the model, Skanste has a higher win probability, and the projected score reflects their superior offensive output. However, a potential caveat is that Skanste's inconsistency could lead to an unexpected result if they fail to capitalise on their chances. The full method used by The Daily Punt Analysis Team is based on an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.9% probability.
Skanste have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Skanste are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Skanste vs JFK Ventspils| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.20 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — | |
| 1.85 | 3.64 | 3.36 | 1.53 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 2.31 | |
| 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 1.87 | 3.42 | 3.36 | 1.56 | 2.20 | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.14 | 2.97 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.30 | — | — | 1.53 | 2.30 | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | — | — | |
| 1.87 | 3.64 | 3.42 | 1.53 | 2.21 | 1.50 | 2.36 | |
Betano | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Skanste leads 4-0)In the last six encounters, Skanste has won four times, with two matches ending in draws, while JFK Ventspils has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a competitive but favorable record for Skanste, with several narrow wins, including a 1-0 and a 2-1, alongside a more decisive 3-0 victory. The most recent match resulted in a goalless draw, suggesting that while Skanste has the upper hand historically, the matches have not been overwhelmingly one-sided. JFK Ventspils has not won against Skanste in their last six meetings, highlighting a challenging trend for them.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 30 | WWLLD |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 29 | DLWWW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 24 | DWLWD |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 22 | WLWLL |
| 9 | Skanste | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 13 | LLLLW |
| 11 | JFK Ventspils | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 7 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 5 | LLDLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSkanste have won 4 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Skanste 0-3 and lost to Skanste 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 12L from the last 25 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
JFK Ventspils have won 4 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include drew with JFK Ventspils 1-1 and beat Skanste 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 8D 12L from the last 26 games (23% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSkanste
No reported absences
JFK Ventspils
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Skanste average 1.5 goals per match at home; JFK Ventspils 1.4 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Skanste have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 36% of their matches and averaging 1.5 goals per game. Skanste player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
