Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS Prediction, Tips & Odds
Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS
Match Preview
The model favours Valmiera / BSS to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Valmiera / BSS is currently positioned second in the league with an impressive record of nine wins, two draws, and just one loss from twelve matches. Their offensive strength is evident, having scored 32 goals while conceding only 12, resulting in a goal difference of +20. With five consecutive wins in their recent form, they appear to be in excellent shape heading into this fixture. In contrast, Skanste sits in ninth place, having won just four of their eleven matches this season. Their goal-scoring has been less prolific, with 20 goals, while they have conceded 21. Their recent form, with only one win in the last five matches, highlights their struggles. The team has not shown the same consistency as their opponents, which could be a critical factor in this matchup. The model gives Valmiera / BSS a strong win probability, reflecting their overall performance this season. However, a potential caveat is that if Skanste can capitalize on home advantage and find a way to disrupt Valmiera / BSS's attacking flow, they could pose a challenge. For a detailed understanding of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Valmiera / BSS have been the stronger side, winning 64% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-2 Valmiera / BSS win as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Valmiera / BSS are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Skanste vs Valmiera / BSS| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 6.60 | 4.60 | 1.33 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.10 | 4.80 | 1.31 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.04 | |
| 7.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 | 1.36 | 2.88 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 6.07 | 4.74 | 1.33 | 1.42 | 2.57 | — | — | |
| 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.35 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.15 | |
| 5.00 | 4.75 | 1.40 | 1.36 | 3.00 | — | — | |
| 7.39 | 4.80 | 1.32 | 1.40 | 2.56 | 1.64 | 2.08 | |
Betano | 6.00 | 4.70 | 1.37 | — | — | — | — |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (Valmiera / BSS leads 1-0)In their only previous meeting, Valmiera / BSS emerged victorious against Skanste with a score of 2-0. This match indicates a clear win for Valmiera / BSS, showcasing their ability to secure a decisive result. The scoreline suggests a relatively comfortable victory, with Skanste unable to find the net. As it stands, Skanste has not won against Valmiera / BSS, and there is no record of draws between the two teams. This single encounter provides limited data, but it does highlight Valmiera / BSS's dominance in their past fixture.
1. Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 46 | 11 | 35 | 34 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 35 | 12 | 23 | 32 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Riga Mariners | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 | LWWWD |
| 4 |  Leevon / PPK | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 27 | WLLDW |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 23 | WLWDW |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 19 | LWLLL |
| 9 | Skanste | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 13 | LLLWL |
| 12 |  Rīgas FS II | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 9 | LDLWW |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 7 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 5 | LDLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonSkanste have won 4 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Valmiera / BSS 0-3 and lost to JFK Ventspils 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 4D 11L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Valmiera / BSS have won 9 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Valmiera / BSS 0-3 and beat JFK Ventspils 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 2D 7L from the last 25 games (64% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersSkanste
No reported absences
Valmiera / BSS
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Skanste average 1.5 goals per match at home; Valmiera / BSS 2.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Valmiera / BSS have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 64% of their matches and averaging 2.7 goals per game. Valmiera / BSS player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
