Tammeka vs Vaprus Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tammeka vs Vaprus
Match Preview
The model favours Tammeka to win this match against Vaprus, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tammeka currently sits in 7th place in the Meistriliiga, having played 13 matches with a record of 5 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses. They have scored 15 goals while conceding 19, resulting in a goal difference of -4. Their recent form shows promise, with three wins in their last five matches, indicating a potential upward trend. On the other hand, Vaprus occupies 6th place, having played 14 matches with 6 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses. They have scored 19 goals but have also conceded 29, leading to a goal difference of -10. Despite a similar recent form of three wins in their last five matches, they have struggled defensively, which could be a concern against a Tammeka side that is starting to find its rhythm. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Tammeka, with the projected score being 2-1. However, one caveat is that if Vaprus can exploit Tammeka's defensive vulnerabilities, they could turn the tide in their favour. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis has been prepared by the SureTipsPro Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Tammeka have been the stronger side, winning 42% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Tammeka are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tammeka vs Vaprus| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.95 | 3.65 | 3.10 | 1.55 | 2.35 | 1.45 | 2.40 | |
| 1.93 | 3.45 | 3.30 | 1.60 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.30 | |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.30 | 1.57 | 2.25 | 1.45 | 2.55 | |
| 2.00 | 3.62 | 3.47 | 1.65 | 2.25 | — | — | |
| 1.92 | 3.33 | 3.04 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.83 | 3.50 | 3.50 | — | — | 1.55 | 2.30 | |
| 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 1.95 | 3.45 | 3.36 | 1.60 | 2.19 | 1.52 | 2.34 | |
| 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 2.32 | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 1.98 | 3.50 | 3.15 | 1.55 | 2.15 | — | — |
Superbet | 1.97 | 3.50 | 3.35 | 1.61 | 2.15 | 1.54 | 2.32 |
BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.20 | 2.90 | 1.49 | 1.89 | 1.40 | 2.05 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Meistriliiga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 44 | 12 | 32 | 42 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Flora Tallinn | 15 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 30 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Kalju Nomme | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 29 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Paide | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 25 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Tammeka | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 20 | WDLWW |
| 6 | Vaprus | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 20 | LDWLW |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | DWDWL |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 10 |  Trans Narva | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 39 | -28 | 10 | DLLWL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTammeka have won 5 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Tammeka 0-0 and lost to Tammeka 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 11L from the last 24 games (42% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Vaprus have won 4 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include beat Laagri 1-2 and lost to Paide 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 2D 13L from the last 24 games (38% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTammeka
No reported absences
Vaprus
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
J. Frischer has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by J. Frischer to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Tammeka average 1.4 goals per match at home; Vaprus 1.7 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.
Player Stats Bet
Tammeka have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 42% of their matches and averaging 1.4 goals per game. Tammeka player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.