Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Prediction, Tips & Odds
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag
Match Preview
The model favours Telstar to win this match against ADO Den Haag, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 13th in the league, Telstar has struggled this season with just one win from seven matches, but they have shown some resilience with two draws. Their goal difference of -7 suggests defensive issues, yet they have managed to score five goals, which may give them an edge against a struggling opponent. On the other hand, ADO Den Haag is languishing in 17th place, having failed to secure a victory so far this season. With only two points from seven games, their form has been poor, reflected in their goal difference of -10. The team has scored seven goals but has conceded 17, indicating significant defensive vulnerabilities that Telstar could exploit. The model gives Telstar a win probability of 44.4%, while ADO Den Haag's chances stand at 30.4%. The projected score of 2-1 aligns with a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored at 63.0% and both teams to score at 64.9%. However, a potential concern for Telstar is their recent form, as they have not won in their last five matches. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.8 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.3% probability.
Telstar have been the stronger side, winning 30% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.3% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Telstar are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Telstar vs ADO Den Haag| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.08 | 3.54 | 3.20 | 1.53 | 2.21 | 1.48 | 2.43 | |
| 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.25 | 1.57 | 2.38 | 1.47 | 2.63 | |
| 2.17 | 3.66 | 3.34 | 1.64 | 2.35 | — | — | |
| 2.06 | 3.33 | 2.90 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.10 | 3.40 | 3.10 | — | — | 1.50 | 2.45 | |
| 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.10 | 1.60 | 2.30 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.15 | 3.66 | 3.30 | 1.62 | 2.35 | 1.48 | 2.47 | |
Betano | 2.15 | 3.65 | 3.25 | 1.62 | 2.37 | 1.50 | 2.45 |
BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.70 | 3.13 | 1.57 | 2.21 | 1.47 | 2.45 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)The head-to-head record between Telstar and ADO Den Haag stands at 3 wins for Telstar, 4 draws, and 3 wins for ADO Den Haag over the last 10 matches. This indicates a balanced rivalry, with no side significantly dominating the other. The scorelines reveal a mix of narrow and tight contests, with several matches ending in draws, including three 1-1 results. The highest margin of victory was a 3-1 win for Telstar, while ADO Den Haag's largest win was also by a single goal. Both teams have shown the ability to secure points, making this a closely contested fixture historically.
Eredivisie Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 | 10 | 21 | 23 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 20 | DLWDW |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 19 | LWLWW |
| 4 |  Ajax | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 5 |  Twente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 17 | LDWWW |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 | DDWLW |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 6 | LDLDL |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 | WDDLL |
| 18 |  Willem II | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 2 | LLLLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTelstar have won 5 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Feyenoord 3-4 and drew with ADO Den Haag 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 7D 14L from the last 30 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
ADO Den Haag have won 5 of their last 11 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Telstar 2-2 and lost to Twente 2-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 3D 6L from the last 19 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
5 playersTelstar
No reported absences
ADO Den Haag5
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Erwin Blank has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Erwin Blank to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Telstar have averaged 4.0 corners per match at home; ADO Den Haag 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Telstar have generated 1.29 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 30% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Telstar player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
