Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban Prediction, Tips & Odds

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban

Super LeagueRegular Season - 18
Tianjin Teda
#15 · Super League
WWLDW
VS
Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Tianjin
Shenyang Urban
#9 · Super League
DWLLW
★ OUR PICK
Both Teams to Score
Both attacks have been productive and both defences leaky — both teams to score carries the edge.
BTTS
1.70
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.67 (implied 59.8%) for Both Teams to Score. Our experts calculate a 62.3% probability (an expert ratio of 1.60). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (62.3% vs 59.8%), driven by both attacks scoring freely while both defences look leaky. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Tianjin Teda to win, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Shenyang Urban. Tianjin Teda currently sits in 15th place in the league, having played 17 matches with a record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses. Their goal difference stands at zero, with 22 goals scored and 22 conceded. Recently, they have shown some improvement, securing two wins and two draws in their last five matches, indicating a slight uptick in form. On the other hand, Shenyang Urban occupies 8th place, having also played 17 matches but with a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses. They have scored 24 goals but have conceded 29, resulting in a negative goal difference of -5. Their recent form has been mixed, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches, suggesting they are still trying to find consistency. According to the model, Tianjin Teda has a 40% chance of winning, while Shenyang Urban's chances sit at 31.7%. The predicted outcome leans towards over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, with a probability of 49.7%. However, a potential caveat for Tianjin Teda is their overall position in the standings, which may impact their confidence. The full method of prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilises an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Tianjin Teda Win43%2.30
Draw24%3.24
Shenyang Urban Win33%2.91
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.6754.7%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Under 2.5 Goals
1.8750.4%

Tianjin Teda manage games at home, conceding just 1.21 goals per match. Shenyang Urban score 1.46 on the road.

Correct Score
Tianjin Teda 1-1 Shenyang Urban
6.0316.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Tianjin Teda -0.5
2.2537%

Tianjin Teda have been the stronger side, winning 29% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-1
6.03
16.6%
1-0
8.00
12.6%
2-1
8.44
11.9%
0-1
9.19
11.0%
1-2
9.72
10.4%
0-0
11.03
10.1%

Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Tianjin Teda
-0.0
1.68
Shenyang Urban
+0.0
2.12
Tianjin Teda
-0.3
1.98
Shenyang Urban
+0.3
2.45
Tianjin Teda
-0.5
2.25
Shenyang Urban
+0.5
2.77
Tianjin Teda
-1.5
4.50
Shenyang Urban
+1.5
6.00

Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Tianjin Teda are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Tianjin Teda vs Shenyang Urban
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
2.283.302.861.851.901.672.00
Marathonbet
2.333.252.921.891.861.692.02
Betfair
2.253.303.001.871.901.602.30
Pinnacle
2.373.342.991.901.93
SBO
2.112.972.691.891.83
William Hill
2.303.102.901.672.10
Bet365
2.353.303.001.901.901.702.05
1xBet
2.393.343.031.921.901.692.05
Unibet
2.333.252.901.861.821.672.05
888Sport
2.303.102.901.911.831.672.10
Betano
2.323.302.901.851.901.652.10
Superbet
2.303.302.901.851.851.702.05
BetVictor
2.253.302.881.861.811.672.05

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.5%
Over 1.5 Goals
73.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
49.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
29.3%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XTianjin Teda or Draw
67%1.35
12Tianjin Teda or Shenyang Urban
76%1.29
X2Draw or Shenyang Urban
57%1.54

Head to Head

Last 1 Meetings (Shenyang Urban leads 1-0)
0 Tianjin Teda0 Draw1 Shenyang Urban
21 Mar
Shenyang Urban
3-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League

In the head-to-head record between Tianjin Teda and Shenyang Urban, Shenyang Urban leads with 1 win and no draws or wins for Tianjin Teda. The only match recorded ended with a decisive score of 3-0 in favor of Shenyang Urban, indicating a one-sided affair. This heavy defeat suggests that Tianjin Teda has struggled against Shenyang Urban in their previous encounter, and they have not had the opportunity to respond or improve their record against this opponent.

Super League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Chengdu Better City
19134239182143
DDDWW
2
Chongqing Tongliang Long
197842321229
DDLWL
3
Dalian Zhixing
189182832-428
WWLLW
4
Yunnan Yukun
197483635125
DLWLD
5
Qingdao Youth Island
1951042329-625
DLWWD
6
Shandong Luneng
199373534124
LWLWL
9
Shenyang Urban
186392530-521
DWLWW
14
Qingdao Jonoon
1963103036-614
LLDWL
15
Tianjin Teda
185672422211
WWLWD
16
Wuhan Three Towns
183782634-811
WLLDD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
Tianjin TedaHome
2W3D4L
9 playedGF 12 · GA 121.00 pts/game
Shenyang UrbanAway
1W3D5L
9 playedGF 10 · GA 160.67 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
Tianjin TedaShenyang Urban
1.29Goals p.g.1.46
1.21Goals conceded p.g.1.32
29%Clean sheets25%
29%Win rate39%
2.5Avg goals in match2.79
1.11xG per game1.45
44%Possession %49%
3.2Shots on target / game4.3
4.5Corners per game3.9
Tianjin Teda
Recent Form

Tianjin Teda have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tianjin Teda 3-0 and beat Tianjin Teda 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 9D 11L from the last 28 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: Tianjin TedaAll competitions
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0-2
Tianjin Teda
Super League
04 Jul
Tianjin Teda
3-0
Sichuan Jiuniu
Super League
27 Jun
Chongqing Tongliang Long
1-0
Tianjin Teda
Super League
19 Jun
Rizhao Yuqi
1-1
Tianjin Teda
FA Cup
31 May
Tianjin Teda
1-0
Dalian Zhixing
Super League
23 May
SHANGHAI SIPG
1-1
Tianjin Teda
Super League
8
Win
29%
9
Draw
32%
11
Lost
39%
Shenyang Urban
Recent Form

Shenyang Urban have won 3 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Shenyang Urban 1-1 and lost to Dalian Kewei 1-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 11L from the last 28 games (39% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: Shenyang UrbanAll competitions
17 Jul
Beijing Guoan
1-1
Shenyang Urban
Super League
04 Jul
Shenyang Urban
3-1
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Super League
27 Jun
Shenyang Urban
1-5
Shandong Luneng
Super League
19 Jun
Dalian Kewei
1-0
Shenyang Urban
FA Cup
29 May
Shenyang Urban
3-2
SHANGHAI SIPG
Super League
24 May
Hangzhou Greentown
0-5
Shenyang Urban
Super League
11
Win
39%
6
Draw
21%
11
Lost
39%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Tianjin Teda

No reported absences

Shenyang Urban

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

Value Bets
Tianjin Teda Win2.30 (43.2%)
Shenyang Urban Win2.91 (32.8%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.88 (49.6%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.87 (50.4%)
Both Teams Score1.67 (54.7%)
BTTS No2.08 (45.3%)
Speculative
Draw3.24 (24%)

Yellow Card Prediction

The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.

Corner Prediction

Tianjin Teda have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Shenyang Urban 3.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.2 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

Tianjin Teda have generated 1.11 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 29% of them. They put 3.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tianjin Teda player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Both Teams to Score Yes

Do you agree with this prediction?

The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.