Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş Prediction, Tips & Odds
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş
Match Preview
The model favours Beşiktaş to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1 against Trabzonspor. Beşiktaş currently sits in third place in the Süper Lig standings, having accumulated 12 points from their six matches with four wins and two losses. Their attacking prowess is evident, having scored 14 goals this season while conceding seven, resulting in a strong goal difference of seven. Their recent form has been particularly impressive, with four wins in their last five matches, showcasing their consistency and ability to secure results. Trabzonspor, on the other hand, is in seventh place with 10 points from six games. They have recorded three wins, one draw, and two losses. While they have scored 13 goals, their defensive record is solid, having conceded only five times, which gives them a goal difference of eight. However, their recent form has been less encouraging, with only two wins in their last five matches, indicating potential struggles to maintain momentum against stronger opposition. According to the model's output, Beşiktaş has a win probability of around 55%, while Trabzonspor's chance stands at approximately 25%. There is a 20% likelihood of a draw. One caveat to consider is Trabzonspor's defensive capability, which could frustrate Beşiktaş if they fail to convert their chances. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team utilises an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.7% probability.
Beşiktaş have been the stronger side, winning 57% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Beşiktaş are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.84 | 3.72 | 2.20 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.46 | 2.49 | |
| 2.80 | 3.80 | 2.20 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.83 | 3.96 | 2.25 | 1.54 | 2.49 | — | — | |
| 2.65 | 3.29 | 2.13 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.60 | 2.20 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 2.80 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2.35 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 2.96 | 3.88 | 2.30 | 1.49 | 2.30 | 1.46 | 2.53 | |
Betano | 2.87 | 3.60 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 2.42 | 1.50 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.60 | 2.20 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Beşiktaş leads 3-2)In the last 10 matches between Trabzonspor and Beşiktaş, Trabzonspor has won 2 times, Beşiktaş has won 3 times, and there have been 5 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several tightly contested matches, as evidenced by the frequent draws and close results. Notably, there have been four matches that ended with just a one-goal difference. The most recent match in December 2025 ended in a high-scoring draw at 3-3, showcasing both teams' offensive capabilities. Beşiktaş last secured a victory over Trabzonspor in February 2025.
Süper Lig Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 | WLWWW |
| 2 | Beşiktaş | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 15 | WLWWW |
| 3 |  Amed | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 14 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Fenerbahçe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 13 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 13 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Çorum FK | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 13 | WWLWW |
| 16 |  Konyaspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 | DDWLL |
| 17 |  Samsunspor | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Eyüpspor | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 20 | -18 | 3 | LLLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTrabzonspor have won 10 of their last 18 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Trabzonspor 0-1 and beat Trabzonspor 4-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 19W 6D 11L from the last 36 games (53% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Beşiktaş have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Amed 3-2 and beat Fenerbahçe 1-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 23W 7D 10L from the last 40 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
8 playersTrabzonspor5
Beşiktaş3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
C. Aydin has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by C. Aydin to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Trabzonspor have averaged 5.9 corners per match at home; Beşiktaş 7.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Beşiktaş have generated 1.90 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 57% of them. They put 6.1 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Beşiktaş player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
