Tromso vs KFUM Oslo Prediction, Tips & Odds
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo
Match Preview
The model favours Tromsø to win against KFUM Oslo, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Tromsø currently sits in 3rd place in the Eliteserien, boasting an impressive season record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses. With 40 goals scored and only 29 conceded, their goal difference of 11 highlights a solid defensive performance coupled with a potent attack. Despite a mixed recent form of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, Tromsø remains competitive in the upper half of the table. On the other hand, KFUM Oslo is positioned 10th, with a record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses. Their season has been challenging, reflected in their goal statistics, with 25 goals scored and 35 conceded, resulting in a negative goal difference of -10. Their recent form has been inconsistent, with three wins followed by two losses in their last five matches. This inconsistency could hamper their chances against a stronger opponent. The model gives Tromsø a win probability of approximately 60%, while projecting a score of 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Tromsø winning by one goal. However, the caveat is that if KFUM Oslo can find their scoring form and exploit defensive lapses, they could provide an upset. The full method used for this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which utilises an in-house model analysing expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.3% probability.
Tromso have been the stronger side, winning 54% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Tromso win as the most likely scoreline at 13.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Tromso clean sheets, in line with their 44% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Tromso are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Tromso vs KFUM Oslo| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.49 | 4.30 | 5.85 | 1.64 | 2.17 | 1.73 | 1.97 | |
| 1.47 | 4.40 | 6.00 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 1.53 | 4.44 | 5.83 | 1.67 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 1.45 | 3.82 | 5.03 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.70 | 2.05 | |
| 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.75 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 2.00 | |
| 1.53 | 4.41 | 6.00 | 1.68 | 2.22 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
Betano | 1.53 | 4.15 | 5.60 | 1.67 | 2.18 | 1.75 | 1.98 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 5.50 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (evenly matched 3-3)In the last 10 matches between Tromso and KFUM Oslo, both teams have won 3 times, with 4 matches ending in a draw. This record indicates a balanced rivalry, with no team dominating the other. The scorelines show a mix of close contests, with several matches ending in draws or narrow victories. Notably, the most recent match ended in a scoreless draw, highlighting the competitive nature of their encounters. Overall, neither side has managed to establish a clear upper hand, making their head-to-head record tightly contested.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 56 | 20 | 36 | 53 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 | DWLLD |
| 4 |  Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 37 | DLWWW |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 34 | DWWWL |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30 | 31 | -1 | 33 | DLWWL |
| 11 | KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 | WWLLD |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 21 | LWLWL |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 19 | LLLWD |
| 16 |  Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 24 | 48 | -24 | 16 | LLWLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTromso have won 13 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 2. Their recent home fixtures include beat Tromso 3-2 and drew with Tromso 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 22W 9D 10L from the last 41 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
KFUM Oslo have won 4 of their last 20 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 12. Their recent away fixtures include beat KFUM Oslo 0-2 and beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 8D 17L from the last 36 games (31% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTromso
No reported absences
KFUM Oslo
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Sigurd Smehus Kringstad has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Tromso have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; KFUM Oslo 3.8 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Tromso have generated 1.34 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 54% of them. They put 5.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Tromso player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.