West Ham vs Wrexham Prediction, Tips & Odds
West Ham vs Wrexham
Match Preview
The model favours West Ham to win this match against Wrexham, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. West Ham currently sits in 17th place in the Championship, having played two matches without a victory. Their season so far has seen them score three goals while conceding four, with a goal difference of -1. Despite their lack of wins, they have shown some resilience with two draws in their last five matches, indicating potential for improvement. Wrexham, on the other hand, is in 15th place with three matches played, also struggling to secure a win. They have recorded two draws and one loss, with a similar goal tally of three scored and four conceded. Their recent form is concerning, with no wins in their last five matches, which includes three losses. This lack of momentum could weigh heavily on their performance against a side like West Ham. According to the model, West Ham has a win probability of 55%, while Wrexham's chances stand at 20%. The key market percentage to note is that West Ham is favoured to win by a margin of one goal. However, a caveat is that if Wrexham can break their winless streak and find their scoring touch, they could pose a threat to West Ham's aspirations. The full method of this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team using an in-house model that assesses expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.4% probability.
West Ham have been the stronger side, winning 43% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.4% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature West Ham clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. West Ham are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
West Ham vs Wrexham| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.56 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.15 | |
| 1.56 | 4.15 | 5.25 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.70 | 2.01 | |
| 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.50 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.10 | |
| 1.58 | 4.39 | 5.69 | 1.70 | 2.24 | — | — | |
| 1.51 | 3.76 | 4.62 | 1.60 | 2.28 | — | — | |
| 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 | — | — | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
| 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.50 | 1.67 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.00 | |
| 1.58 | 4.15 | 5.16 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.70 | 2.04 | |
| 1.56 | 4.10 | 5.40 | 1.62 | 2.28 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 2.10 | |
Betano | 1.60 | 4.20 | 5.40 | 1.67 | 2.27 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
Superbet | 1.59 | 4.30 | 5.25 | 1.64 | 2.27 | 1.70 | 2.07 |
BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.20 | 5.75 | 1.64 | 2.08 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 1 Meetings (West Ham leads 1-0)West Ham has a head-to-head record of 1 win and 0 draws against Wrexham, with the only match resulting in a 2-0 victory for West Ham. This indicates a one-sided contest, as Wrexham has yet to secure a win in their encounters. The scoreline suggests a relatively comfortable win for West Ham, and there have been no draws in their history. Since this was their only meeting, Wrexham has not recorded a win against West Ham in this matchup.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 17 | WWLDW |
| 2 | West Ham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 15 | DWWWW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 15 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Wolves | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  QPR | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 13 | DDDLW |
| 14 | Wrexham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 10 | WLDDW |
| 22 |  Derby | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 5 | DLLLW |
| 23 |  Preston | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 4 | DLLWL |
| 24 |  Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 4 | DLDLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWest Ham have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include lost to West Ham 2-3 and beat West Ham 6-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 15W 12D 8L from the last 35 games (43% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Wrexham have won 7 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to West Ham 6-0 and drew with Swansea 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 8D 12L from the last 34 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedWest Ham4-4-2Confirmed
Wrexham3-4-2-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
9 playersWest Ham3
Wrexham6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
West Ham have averaged 4.3 corners per match at home; Wrexham 5.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.8 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
West Ham have been the stronger side on attack across the season, winning 43% of their matches and averaging 1.9 goals per game. They put 7.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. West Ham player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
