WSG Wattens vs Ried Prediction, Tips & Odds
WSG Wattens vs Ried
Match Preview
The model favours Ried to win against WSG Wattens, projecting a close scoreline of 2-1. Both teams are currently tied on points, but Ried holds a slight edge in goal difference and has performed marginally better this season. With 11 goals scored, Ried's attacking output has been more potent compared to Wattens, who have netted 9 times. WSG Wattens sits in 7th place with 8 points, having won just 2 of their opening 7 matches. Despite a recent uptick in form with three wins in their last five games, they remain vulnerable defensively, conceding 12 goals so far. The team will need to tighten their backline to improve their chances against Ried. Ried, positioned 5th, shares the same win-draw-loss record as Wattens but benefits from a slightly better goal difference of -1. They have also shown resilience in their last five matches, securing three wins and demonstrating a consistent ability to find the back of the net. This combination of factors contributes to their edge in the upcoming fixture. The model gives Ried a 36.8% chance of winning, with a 27.2% probability for a draw and a 36.0% chance for a Wattens victory. With over 2.5 goals projected at 52.6% and both teams likely to score at 57.1%, it suggests an attacking contest. However, the key caveat for Ried is their equal record against Wattens this season, which could lead to an unpredictable outcome. The full method is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, utilizing an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 14.7% probability.
WSG Wattens have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 14.7% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. WSG Wattens are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
WSG Wattens vs Ried| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.52 | 3.52 | 2.54 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.54 | 2.28 | |
| 2.45 | 3.70 | 2.50 | 1.57 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 2.53 | 3.72 | 2.70 | 1.66 | 2.32 | — | — | |
| 2.36 | 3.25 | 2.51 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.57 | 2.30 | |
| 2.40 | 3.60 | 2.62 | 1.62 | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2.38 | |
| 2.52 | 3.52 | 2.54 | 1.67 | 2.13 | 1.54 | 2.32 | |
Betano | 2.50 | 3.45 | 2.62 | 1.67 | 2.18 | 1.53 | 2.35 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.60 | 2.63 | 1.63 | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.40 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (WSG Wattens leads 4-2)In the last 10 matches between WSG Wattens and Ried, WSG Wattens has won 4 times, Ried has won 2 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a relatively competitive rivalry, with several matches ending in narrow margins; however, WSG Wattens has secured three 2-0 victories, suggesting they can achieve heavier wins when effective. The most recent match saw WSG Wattens winning 1-0, while Ried last claimed victory in March 2026, indicating a struggle for Ried to secure wins in recent encounters. Overall, the matches have been closely contested, with a tendency for low-scoring results.
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 24 | WWWWL |
| 2 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 21 | WDWDW |
| 3 |  Lask Linz | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 19 | WLDLW |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 | WWLWL |
| 5 | Ried | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 6 | WSG Wattens | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 11 | WLLDW |
| 10 |  Austria Vienna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 | LLDWL |
| 11 |  SCR Altach | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 | LWLLL |
| 12 |  Wolfsberger AC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 5 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWSG Wattens have won 4 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 8 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Ried 1-2 and drew with TSV Hartberg 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 14L from the last 36 games (36% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Ried have won 3 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 10. Their recent away fixtures include beat WSG Wattens 1-2 and beat Wallern / Marienkirchen 1-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 9D 15L from the last 40 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWSG Wattens
No reported absences
Ried
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Julian Weinberger has averaged 1.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
WSG Wattens have averaged 5.4 corners per match at home; Ried 3.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
WSG Wattens have generated 1.50 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 3.6 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. WSG Wattens player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
