Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye
Match Preview
The model favours Henan Jianye to win this match, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently sitting in 13th place, Henan Jianye has accumulated 15 points from 17 matches, with a record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. Their goal difference of -4 reflects a modest defensive performance, but they have managed to score 18 goals this season, indicating a more effective attack compared to their opponents. In contrast, Wuhan Three Towns finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 16th position, with only 8 points from 17 games. Their form has been troubling, with just 2 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, resulting in a goal difference of -10. They have struggled offensively, scoring 24 goals but conceding 34, which highlights their difficulties in both scoring and defending throughout the season. The model gives Henan Jianye a 41.9% probability of winning, while Wuhan Three Towns has a 30.7% chance. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 54.6%, with both teams scoring (BTTS) at 57.9%. However, a potential concern for Henan Jianye could be their inconsistency, as they have won only two of their last five matches. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, as our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results for a comprehensive view.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.1% probability.
Henan Jianye have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 16.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Henan Jianye are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Henan Jianye| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.00 | 3.25 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.55 | 2.20 | |
| 3.02 | 3.38 | 2.21 | 1.76 | 2.01 | 1.60 | 2.16 | |
| 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.20 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 | |
| 3.08 | 3.49 | 2.34 | 1.79 | 2.07 | — | — | |
| 2.80 | 3.08 | 2.01 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.25 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 2.05 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 3.06 | 3.50 | 2.30 | 1.77 | 2.08 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 3.05 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.72 | 1.97 | 1.58 | 2.18 | |
| 2.90 | 3.25 | 2.25 | 1.73 | 2.00 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
Betano | 3.05 | 3.30 | 2.22 | 1.75 | 2.02 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Superbet | 3.00 | 3.35 | 2.22 | 1.72 | 2.00 | 1.60 | 2.20 |
BetVictor | 2.90 | 3.40 | 2.20 | 1.70 | 1.99 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 9 Meetings (Wuhan Three Towns leads 5-2)In the last nine matches between Wuhan Three Towns and Henan Jianye, Wuhan Three Towns has won 5 times, Henan Jianye has won 2 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of close contests and some more decisive outcomes, with three matches ending in a margin of three goals or more. Notably, Henan Jianye's last victory in this fixture was in November 2022, suggesting a recent trend favoring Wuhan Three Towns. The overall record reflects a competitive rivalry, but Wuhan Three Towns has had the upper hand historically.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 | DDWWL |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 28 | DLWLW |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 4 |  Shandong Luneng | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 24 | WLWLD |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 24 | LWLDL |
| 6 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 15 | LLLWW |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 14 | DWLLL |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 8 | WLWDL |
| 16 | Wuhan Three Towns | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 8 | LLDDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 3 of their last 11 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Wuhan Three Towns 1-1 and drew with Wuhan Three Towns 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 9D 14L from the last 26 games (12% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Henan Jianye have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Henan Jianye 2-1 and beat Jiangxi Liansheng 0-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 6D 10L from the last 27 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Henan Jianye
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 3.7 corners per match at home; Henan Jianye 4.9 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Henan Jianye have generated 1.12 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 3.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Henan Jianye player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
