Wuhan Three Towns vs Sichuan Jiuniu Prediction, Tips & Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Preview
The model favours Sichuan Jiuniu to win against Wuhan Three Towns, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Sichuan Jiuniu currently sits in 11th place, having secured 17 points from 17 matches this season. Their recent form includes three wins in their last five matches, indicating a positive trend, while their overall goal difference of -9 suggests they have been competitive despite some inconsistencies. In contrast, Wuhan Three Towns finds themselves at the bottom of the table in 16th place with just 8 points from 17 games. Their form has been troubling, with no wins in their last five matches, managing only three draws and two losses. With a goal difference of -10, their defensive issues have been evident, which puts them at a disadvantage in this fixture. The model output suggests a win probability of 55% for Sichuan Jiuniu, with the potential for a close match reflected in the projected score. A key market percentage indicates a likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. However, the primary caveat for this prediction is the possibility of Wuhan Three Towns finding a resurgence at home, which could shift the dynamics unexpectedly. For a detailed breakdown of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. This analysis comes from The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.5 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.9% probability.
Wuhan Three Towns have been the stronger side, winning 17% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.9% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Wuhan Three Towns are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Wuhan Three Towns vs Sichuan Jiuniu| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.20 | 3.45 | 2.90 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.55 | 2.20 | |
| 2.22 | 3.42 | 2.97 | 1.70 | 2.09 | 1.56 | 2.24 | |
| 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.90 | 1.67 | 2.15 | 1.57 | 2.38 | |
| 2.31 | 3.60 | 3.05 | 1.72 | 2.16 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.11 | 2.68 | 1.71 | 2.12 | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 2.90 | — | — | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 2.25 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 1.73 | 2.08 | 1.57 | 2.25 | |
| 2.29 | 3.52 | 3.06 | 1.73 | 2.13 | 1.56 | 2.28 | |
| 2.15 | 3.45 | 3.15 | 1.75 | 1.95 | 1.63 | 2.12 | |
Betano | 2.22 | 3.45 | 2.95 | 1.72 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.22 |
Superbet | 2.17 | 3.40 | 3.05 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 1.59 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.88 | 1.67 | 2.03 | 1.55 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 7 Meetings (Wuhan Three Towns leads 4-2)In the last seven matches between Wuhan Three Towns and Sichuan Jiuniu, Wuhan Three Towns has won 4 times, Sichuan Jiuniu has won 2 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a mix of results, with Wuhan Three Towns achieving notable victories, including a 5-1 win and a 4-1 win, showcasing their attacking strength. Sichuan Jiuniu's wins have been closer, with a maximum margin of just one goal. The draw indicates that the contests can be competitive, but overall, Wuhan Three Towns has had the upper hand in this rivalry.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Shandong Luneng | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 33 | WWWLL |
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 33 | DDWWD |
| 4 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 6 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 30 | DLLLD |
| 12 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 22 | 7 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 23 | LWLLW |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonWuhan Three Towns have won 5 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Wuhan Three Towns 1-0 and drew with Wuhan Three Towns 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 5W 11D 14L from the last 30 games (17% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Sichuan Jiuniu have won 3 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 4-0 and lost to Yunnan Yukun 4-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 11W 4D 18L from the last 33 games (33% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersWuhan Three Towns
No reported absences
Sichuan Jiuniu
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Wuhan Three Towns have averaged 4.4 corners per match at home; Sichuan Jiuniu 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Wuhan Three Towns have generated 1.67 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 17% of them. They put 5.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Wuhan Three Towns player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
