Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction, Tips & Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG
Match Preview
The model favours Yunnan Yukun to win against SHANGHAI SIPG, with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Yunnan Yukun currently sits in 4th place in the league standings, having accumulated 24 points from 17 matches. Their season has been marked by a balanced attack and defense, scoring 31 goals while conceding 29, which gives them a goal difference of +2. Although their recent form includes two wins, a draw, and two losses, they have shown resilience in securing points against tougher opponents. On the other hand, SHANGHAI SIPG finds itself in 12th place, trailing with 15 points from the same number of matches. Their season has been inconsistent, with 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses. They have scored 26 goals and conceded 24, maintaining a goal difference of +2. Recent performances reflect a slight upward trend, with two wins and a draw in their last five matches, but they remain vulnerable, especially against teams higher in the standings. The model suggests a win probability of 60% for Yunnan Yukun, with a key market indicator showing a 55% chance of them winning. However, one concern for Yunnan Yukun could be their recent inconsistency, which might allow SHANGHAI SIPG to capitalize on any defensive lapses. The full method behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, generated by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.2 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.0% probability.
Yunnan Yukun have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 12.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 6 bookmakers. Yunnan Yukun are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Yunnan Yukun vs SHANGHAI SIPG| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.48 | 3.95 | 2.32 | 1.35 | 3.00 | 1.30 | 3.00 | |
| 2.51 | 3.84 | 2.38 | 1.32 | 2.88 | 1.32 | 3.04 | |
| 2.45 | 4.10 | 2.30 | 1.33 | 3.25 | 1.33 | 3.25 | |
| 2.57 | 4.18 | 2.44 | 1.37 | 3.14 | — | — | |
| 2.30 | 3.33 | 2.25 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.50 | 3.80 | 2.38 | — | — | 1.33 | 3.10 | |
| 2.62 | 3.70 | 2.45 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 3.00 | |
| 2.59 | 3.96 | 2.45 | 1.35 | 3.40 | 1.32 | 3.10 | |
| 2.38 | 3.80 | 2.55 | 1.34 | 2.95 | 1.33 | 3.00 | |
Betano | 2.55 | 3.85 | 2.35 | 1.36 | 2.87 | 1.35 | 2.95 |
Superbet | 2.52 | 3.70 | 2.42 | 1.37 | 2.87 | 1.34 | 3.00 |
BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.90 | 2.30 | 1.33 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (SHANGHAI SIPG leads 3-0)In the last three encounters, SHANGHAI SIPG has won all three matches against Yunnan Yukun, leading to a head-to-head record of 0 wins for Yunnan Yukun and 3 for SHANGHAI SIPG. The scorelines indicate a competitive edge for SHANGHAI SIPG, with two matches ending with a margin of at least two goals. Notably, Yunnan Yukun has not managed to secure a win in these fixtures, and their last victory over SHANGHAI SIPG dates back to before this sample size. Overall, the results reflect a clear dominance by SHANGHAI SIPG in their recent matchups.
Super League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 22 | 20 | 45 | LDDDD |
| 2 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 22 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 32 | DWWDL |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 | WDLWW |
| 4 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 31 | WLWDL |
| 5 |  Shandong Luneng | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 30 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Beijing Guoan | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 29 | WWDDW |
| 12 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 22 | WLWDL |
| 14 |  Tianjin Teda | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 17 | LWWWW |
| 15 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 15 | DWWLL |
| 16 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 14 | LLLLL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonYunnan Yukun have won 8 of their last 15 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 3. Their recent home fixtures include beat Chengdu Better City 1-0 and beat Sichuan Jiuniu 4-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 10L from the last 32 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
SHANGHAI SIPG have won 5 of their last 18 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 8. Their recent away fixtures include beat SHANGHAI SIPG 2-3 and drew with Yunnan Yukun 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 10D 13L from the last 32 games (28% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersYunnan Yukun
No reported absences
SHANGHAI SIPG
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Yunnan Yukun have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; SHANGHAI SIPG 5.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Yunnan Yukun have generated 1.47 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Yunnan Yukun player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
