Aarhus vs Brondby Prediction, Tips & Odds

Aarhus vs Brondby

SuperligaRegular Season - 1
Aarhus
#3 · Superliga
WLWDW
VS
New Vejlby Stadium, Aarhus
Brondby
#4 · Superliga
WDWLW

Match Preview

The model favours Aarhus to win against Brondby, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Aarhus enters the season with a strong finish from the previous campaign, having secured three wins in their last five matches. This form suggests they have momentum heading into the new season, which could provide a psychological edge. While detailed season stats are not available, their recent performances indicate a solid attacking capability. On the other hand, Brondby also comes off a decent run, with three wins and a draw in their last five matches. They finished the prior season competitively, which could help them establish a strong start. However, they may need to overcome the challenge of consistency, especially against a formidable opponent like Aarhus. The model's output indicates a win probability that slightly favours Aarhus, alongside a projected score of 2-1. One caveat to consider is that early season matches can often be unpredictable, with teams still finding their rhythm. For a deeper understanding of how this prediction was reached, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (Aarhus leads 5-3)
5 Aarhus2 Draw3 Brondby
22 Mar
Aarhus
0-0
Brondby
Superliga
Oct 25
Brondby
3-3
Aarhus
Superliga
Sept 25
Aarhus
1-0
Brondby
Superliga
May 25
Aarhus
2-3
Brondby
Superliga
Apr 25
Brondby
2-1
Aarhus
Superliga
Dec 24
Brondby
4-2
Aarhus
DBU Pokalen
Dec 24
Aarhus
1-0
Brondby
DBU Pokalen
Oct 24
Aarhus
1-0
Brondby
Superliga
Aug 24
Brondby
0-1
Aarhus
Superliga
May 24
Brondby
2-3
Aarhus
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Aarhus and Brondby, Aarhus has won 5 times, Brondby has won 3 times, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitive encounters, with several matches ending in tight margins, such as three 1-0 victories for Aarhus. However, there are also higher-scoring games, including a 3-3 draw and a 4-2 win for Brondby. Overall, the head-to-head record shows a balanced rivalry, though Aarhus has had the upper hand in recent outings, suggesting they have a slight edge historically.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Sonderjyske
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2
Silkeborg
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3
Aarhus
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4
Brondby
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5
FC Copenhagen
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6
AC Horsens
00000000
10
Odense
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11
Randers FC
00000000
12
Viborg
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Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AarhusHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
BrondbyAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AarhusBrondby
2Goals p.g.1.58
1Goals conceded p.g.1.33
25%Clean sheets33%
54%Win rate29%
3Avg goals in match2.92
1.69xG per game1.07
-0.01xGA per game0.60
51%Possession %52%
5.7Shots on target / game3.6
4.9Corners per game4.2
Aarhus
Recent Form

Aarhus have won 8 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat AC Horsens 2-0 and beat Motherwell 4-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 8D 3L from the last 24 games (54% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: AarhusAll competitions
15 Jul
Aarhus
2-0
AC Horsens
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Union St. Gilloise
2-1
Aarhus
Friendlies Clubs
05 Jul
Aarhus
4-0
Motherwell
Friendlies Clubs
27 Jun
Aarhus
1-1
Viborg
Friendlies Clubs
17 May
Aarhus
6-2
Viborg
Superliga
10 May
Brondby
0-2
Aarhus
Superliga
13
Win
54%
8
Draw
33%
3
Lost
13%
Brondby
Recent Form

Brondby have won 2 of their last 7 matches on the road, drawing 2 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Midtjylland 2-3 and lost to Sonderjyske 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 7D 10L from the last 24 games (29% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: BrondbyAll competitions
11 Jul
Brondby
4-0
Odense
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Brondby
3-3
FC Nordsjaelland
Friendlies Clubs
28 Jun
Brondby
8-1
Hvidovre
Friendlies Clubs
21 May
Brondby
1-3
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
17 May
FC Midtjylland
2-3
Brondby
Superliga
10 May
Brondby
0-2
Aarhus
Superliga
7
Win
29%
7
Draw
29%
10
Lost
42%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Aarhus

No reported absences

Brondby

No reported absences

What's Your Prediction?

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Aarhus vs Brondby Predictions, Stats, H2H - 25 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt