Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Tips & Odds

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland

SuperligaRegular Season - 1
Sonderjyske
#1 · Superliga
LDWLW
VS
Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev
FC Midtjylland
#8 · Superliga
WWDWL

Match Preview

The model favours Sonderjyske to win against FC Midtjylland with a projected scoreline of 2-1. As the current league leaders, Sonderjyske enters this match with a strong recent form, having achieved two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Their recent performance indicates a competitive edge as they look to solidify their position at the top of the standings. In contrast, FC Midtjylland, positioned eighth, has also shown promise with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. This form suggests that they are capable of competing effectively, but they will need to translate that into a strong start to the season, especially against a top-side opponent like Sonderjyske. The model indicates a win probability of 55% for Sonderjyske, with a key market percentage suggesting that they are likely to score more than one goal. However, a potential caveat is that if FC Midtjylland can carry their recent form into this match, they might challenge Sonderjyske more than expected. For a comprehensive understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (FC Midtjylland leads 6-2)
2 Sonderjyske2 Draw6 FC Midtjylland
23 Apr
Sonderjyske
1-2
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
04 Apr
FC Midtjylland
2-2
Sonderjyske
Superliga
09 Jan
Sonderjyske
3-6
FC Midtjylland
Friendlies Clubs
Nov 25
Sonderjyske
2-1
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Jul 25
FC Midtjylland
6-2
Sonderjyske
Superliga
Oct 24
Sonderjyske
3-2
FC Midtjylland
Superliga
Aug 24
FC Midtjylland
3-2
Sonderjyske
Superliga
Jun 24
FC Midtjylland
2-2
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
Oct 21
FC Midtjylland
3-2
Sonderjyske
Superliga
Aug 21
Sonderjyske
0-2
FC Midtjylland
Superliga

In the last 10 matches between Sonderjyske and FC Midtjylland, FC Midtjylland has won 6 times, Sonderjyske has won 2, and there have been 2 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, but with a tendency for FC Midtjylland to secure more victories, including some heavy wins like 6-2 and 3-6. The matches have featured a mix of narrow contests and more decisive outcomes, showcasing that while Sonderjyske has had some success, they have not won against FC Midtjylland since 2025. Overall, the head-to-head record suggests a slight advantage for FC Midtjylland in recent encounters.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Sonderjyske
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2
Silkeborg
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3
Aarhus
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4
Brondby
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5
FC Copenhagen
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6
AC Horsens
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8
FC Midtjylland
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10
Odense
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11
Randers FC
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12
Viborg
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Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
SonderjyskeHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game
FC MidtjyllandAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0— pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
1.43Goals p.g.1.85
1.91Goals conceded p.g.1.23
22%Clean sheets38%
30%Win rate50%
3.35Avg goals in match3.08
1.26xG per game1.74
-0.01xGA per game-0.15
41%Possession %54%
3.2Shots on target / game5.0
4.4Corners per game5.2
Sonderjyske
Recent Form

Sonderjyske have won 4 of their last 12 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Sonderjyske 1-1 and lost to Sonderjyske 1-4.

Overall, the wider run reads 7W 6D 10L from the last 23 games (30% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: SonderjyskeAll competitions
10 Jul
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
03 Jul
Sonderjyske
1-1
Viking
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Randers FC
2-4
Sonderjyske
Friendlies Clubs
17 May
Sonderjyske
1-4
FC Nordsjaelland
Superliga
08 May
Viborg
0-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
03 May
Aarhus
2-1
Sonderjyske
Superliga
7
Win
30%
6
Draw
26%
10
Lost
43%
FC Midtjylland
Recent Form

FC Midtjylland have won 8 of their last 14 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 1. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Midtjylland 0-6 and drew with Malmo FF 2-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 4L from the last 26 games (50% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC MidtjyllandAll competitions
11 Jul
Cardiff
0-6
FC Midtjylland
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
FC Midtjylland
4-2
Silkeborg
Friendlies Clubs
26 Jun
Malmo FF
2-2
FC Midtjylland
Friendlies Clubs
20 Jun
FC Midtjylland
1-0
Lillestrom
Friendlies Clubs
17 May
FC Midtjylland
2-3
Brondby
Superliga
14 May
FC Copenhagen
0-1
FC Midtjylland
DBU Pokalen
13
Win
50%
9
Draw
35%
4
Lost
15%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Sonderjyske

No reported absences

FC Midtjylland

No reported absences

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland Predictions, Stats, H2H - 26 Jul 2026 | The Daily Punt