AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland Prediction, Tips & Odds
AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland
Match Preview
The model favours AC Horsens to win this match against FC Nordsjaelland, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. AC Horsens starts the season in a promising position, having finished last season strong with three wins in their last five matches. Their recent form indicates a solid ability to convert chances, which will be crucial as they aim to build momentum in the new campaign. On the other hand, FC Nordsjaelland is entering the season with some concerns, having recorded only one win in their last five matches. Their recent performances have been inconsistent, with two draws and two losses, suggesting they may struggle to find their rhythm early on. This lack of form could hinder their chances against a more confident Horsens side. The model gives AC Horsens a favourable win probability, reflecting their better recent form and home advantage. However, a key caveat is that both teams are starting the season fresh, and early fixtures can often produce unexpected results. For a detailed explanation of how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.0 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.2% probability.
FC Nordsjaelland have been the stronger side, winning 44% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 15.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. FC Nordsjaelland are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
AC Horsens vs FC Nordsjaelland| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 3.45 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.65 | 2.20 | 1.55 | 2.25 | |
| 3.68 | 3.55 | 1.93 | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.58 | 2.20 | |
| 3.60 | 3.50 | 1.95 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.50 | 2.40 | |
| 3.85 | 3.62 | 1.98 | 1.72 | 2.19 | — | — | |
| 3.34 | 3.39 | 2.02 | 1.73 | 2.14 | — | — | |
| 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 | — | — | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
| 3.60 | 3.70 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 3.67 | 3.55 | 1.95 | 1.69 | 2.13 | 1.58 | 2.23 | |
| 3.85 | 3.65 | 1.89 | 1.62 | 2.23 | 1.52 | 2.32 | |
| 3.60 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 1.70 | 2.05 | 1.60 | 2.25 | |
Betano | 3.65 | 3.60 | 2.02 | 1.72 | 2.18 | 1.60 | 2.27 |
Superbet | 3.55 | 3.65 | 2.02 | 1.71 | 2.15 | 1.61 | 2.22 |
BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.93 | 1.67 | 2.04 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (FC Nordsjaelland leads 4-2)The head-to-head record between AC Horsens and FC Nordsjaelland stands at 2 wins for AC Horsens, 4 draws, and 4 wins for FC Nordsjaelland over their last 10 encounters. The scorelines indicate a mix of competitiveness and lopsided results, with two matches featuring heavy wins for FC Nordsjaelland, including a notable 6-0 victory. Additionally, the frequency of draws suggests that matches are often closely contested. AC Horsens has not won against FC Nordsjaelland since 2022, indicating a potential challenge in reversing this trend in future meetings.
Superliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Brondby | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | WWD |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | WW |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | WW |
| 4 |  Randers FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WLD |
| 5 | FC Nordsjaelland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | WD |
| 6 |  Viborg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 10 |  Sonderjyske | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | DLL |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | LDL |
| 12 | AC Horsens | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAC Horsens have won 4 of their last 7 matches at home, drawing 2 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Brondby 0-2 and drew with FC Nordsjaelland 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 6W 4D 5L from the last 15 games (40% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
FC Nordsjaelland have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 5 and losing 4. Their recent away fixtures include beat FC Nordsjaelland 0-2 and drew with AC Horsens 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 10D 8L from the last 32 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
3 playersAC Horsens
No reported absences
FC Nordsjaelland3
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
M. Kristoffersen has averaged 2.0 yellow cards per match across 1 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
AC Horsens have averaged 3.5 corners per match at home; FC Nordsjaelland 5.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
FC Nordsjaelland have generated 1.75 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 44% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Nordsjaelland player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
