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FC Copenhagen vs Lyngby Prediction, Tips & Odds

FC Copenhagen vs Lyngby

SuperligaRegular Season - 1
FC Copenhagen
#2 · Superliga
WWWWD
3 - 2
Parken Stadium, Copenhagen
Referee: M. Redder
Lyngby
#11 · Superliga
LDLWW
★ OUR PICK
Over 2.5 Goals
Both sides average plenty of goals and trend toward open games — the over is the value pick here.
Totals
1.40
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.38 (implied 72.7%) for Over 2.5 Goals. Our experts calculate a 75.2% probability (an expert ratio of 1.33). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (75.2% vs 72.7%), driven by both sides' high goal output and tendency toward open games. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours FC Copenhagen to win against Lyngby, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. FC Copenhagen enters the season in fifth place in the standings, having finished strong with four wins and one draw in their last five matches. Their recent form suggests a team that is building momentum, which could be pivotal as they aim to secure a solid start to the season. On the other side, Lyngby is positioned seventh and has a mixed recent form, winning three of their last five matches but also suffering two losses. This inconsistency may hinder their ability to compete effectively against a team like FC Copenhagen, especially in the early stages of the season when teams are still finding their rhythm. According to the model, FC Copenhagen has a strong win probability, with a projected score of 2-1. However, a potential caveat is that if Lyngby can exploit any lapses in FC Copenhagen's defense or if they find their best form quickly, the result could be different. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
FC Copenhagen Win64%1.41
Draw18%4.96
Lyngby Win18%6.24
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.5364.8%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.3869.6%

Combined goal output is high (4.6 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
FC Copenhagen 2-1 Lyngby
7.8312.8%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 12.8% probability.

Asian Handicap
FC Copenhagen -1.5
2.1044%

FC Copenhagen have been the stronger side, winning 58% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
2-1
7.83
12.8%
2-0
8.83
11.4%
1-1
9.44
10.7%
3-1
9.77
10.3%
1-0
10.13
9.9%
3-0
10.42
9.7%

Our model projects a 2-1 FC Copenhagen win as the most likely scoreline at 12.8% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature FC Copenhagen clean sheets, in line with their 16% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
FC Copenhagen
-0.0
1.13
Lyngby
+0.0
4.93
FC Copenhagen
-0.5
1.38
Lyngby
+0.5
5.57
FC Copenhagen
-1.5
2.10
Lyngby
+1.5
11.00

Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. FC Copenhagen are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

FC Copenhagen vs Lyngby
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.445.005.801.383.001.502.38
Marathonbet
1.405.056.251.342.801.522.33
Betfair
1.365.006.501.362.881.572.25
Pinnacle
1.435.436.211.393.06
SBO
1.404.815.99
William Hill
1.404.806.001.552.30
Bet365
1.424.756.251.402.881.532.38
1xBet
1.415.056.241.342.801.522.37
Unibet
1.375.107.501.402.881.582.20
888Sport
1.404.806.001.362.881.532.30
Betano
1.454.906.301.402.951.532.40
Superbet
1.455.006.101.402.951.552.35
BetVictor
1.404.756.001.362.901.502.40

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
94.9%
Over 1.5 Goals
85.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
69.6%
Over 3.5 Goals
47.4%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XFC Copenhagen or Draw
82%1.11
12FC Copenhagen or Lyngby
83%1.15
X2Draw or Lyngby
36%2.79

Head to Head

Last 10 Meetings (FC Copenhagen leads 9-0)
9 FC Copenhagen1 Draw0 Lyngby
Sept 25
Lyngby
0-2
FC Copenhagen
DBU Pokalen
Jan 25
FC Copenhagen
3-0
Lyngby
Friendlies Clubs
Nov 24
FC Copenhagen
2-1
Lyngby
Superliga
Jul 24
Lyngby
0-2
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Mar 24
FC Copenhagen
4-0
Lyngby
Superliga
Jul 23
Lyngby
1-2
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Nov 22
FC Copenhagen
3-0
Lyngby
Superliga
Aug 22
Lyngby
0-3
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
Jun 21
FC Copenhagen
3-1
Lyngby
Friendlies Clubs
Feb 21
Lyngby
2-2
FC Copenhagen
Superliga

In the last 10 encounters between FC Copenhagen and Lyngby, FC Copenhagen has won 9 times, with 1 draw and no victories for Lyngby. The scorelines indicate a significant dominance by FC Copenhagen, with several wins featuring a margin of two or more goals, including a 4-0 victory. Lyngby's last draw against FC Copenhagen was in February 2021, and since then, they have not managed to secure a win, reflecting a one-sided historical matchup. Overall, this head-to-head record highlights a clear advantage for FC Copenhagen, suggesting a challenging prospect for Lyngby in their meetings.

Superliga Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Brondby
32104137
WWD
2
FC Copenhagen
22006336
WW
3
FC Midtjylland
22005326
WW
4
Randers FC
31113214
WLD
5
FC Nordsjaelland
21102114
WD
6
Viborg
31111104
DLW
10
Sonderjyske
301224-21
DLL
11
Lyngby
301247-31
LDL
12
AC Horsens
301225-31
LLD

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
FC CopenhagenHome
1W0D0L
1 playedGF 3 · GA 23.00 pts/game
LyngbyAway
0W0D2L
2 playedGF 2 · GA 50.00 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
FC CopenhagenLyngby
2.39Goals p.g.2.21
1.52Goals conceded p.g.1.36
16%Clean sheets29%
58%Win rate57%
3.9Avg goals in match3.57
2.11xG per game2.63
-0.15xGA per game0.07
54%Possession %52%
6.7Shots on target / game6.5
5.3Corners per game4.5
FC Copenhagen
Recent Form

FC Copenhagen have won 11 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 1 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat FC Copenhagen 2-1 and beat FC Copenhagen 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 18W 5D 8L from the last 31 games (58% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: FC CopenhagenAll competitions
06 Aug
Debreceni VSC
0-3
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League
02 Aug
Silkeborg
1-3
FC Copenhagen
Superliga
29 Jul
FC Copenhagen
2-1
Polessya
UEFA Europa Conference League
26 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3-2
Lyngby
Superliga
23 Jul
Polessya
3-3
FC Copenhagen
UEFA Europa Conference League
16 Jul
FC Copenhagen
2-1
Viborg
Friendlies Clubs
18
Win
58%
5
Draw
16%
8
Lost
26%
Lyngby
Recent Form

Lyngby have won 5 of their last 8 matches on the road, drawing 0 and losing 3. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Lyngby 2-0 and lost to FC Copenhagen 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 8W 1D 5L from the last 14 games (57% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.

Match Results: LyngbyAll competitions
09 Aug
Randers FC
2-0
Lyngby
Superliga
01 Aug
Lyngby
2-2
Aarhus
Superliga
26 Jul
FC Copenhagen
3-2
Lyngby
Superliga
18 Jul
Hillerød
0-1
Lyngby
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Osters IF
0-3
Lyngby
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Lyngby
6-3
B 93
Friendlies Clubs
8
Win
57%
1
Draw
7%
5
Lost
36%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

6 players

FC Copenhagen5

D. Sarapata
Missing FixtureShoulder Injury
H. Nemeth
Missing FixtureInjury
M. Mattsson
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
R. Huescas
Missing FixtureKnee Injury
V. Dadason
Missing FixtureHamstring Injury

Lyngby1

O. Snorre
Missing FixtureKnee Injury

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
FC Copenhagen Win1.41 (64.1%)
Over 2.5 Goals1.38 (69.6%)
Both Teams Score1.53 (64.8%)
Value Bets
Under 2.5 Goals2.91 (30.4%)
BTTS No2.33 (35.2%)
Speculative
Draw4.96 (17.5%)
Lyngby Win6.24 (18.4%)

Yellow Card Prediction

M. Redder has averaged 3.0 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

FC Copenhagen have averaged 5.3 corners per match at home; Lyngby 4.5 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.

Player Stats Bet

FC Copenhagen have generated 2.11 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 58% of them. They put 6.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. FC Copenhagen player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
2.5 Goals Over

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.