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Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière Prediction, Tips & Odds

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 1
Anderlecht
#9 · Jupiler Pro League
WDWWW
2 - 1
Lotto Park, Anderlecht
Referee: L. Visser
RAAL La Louvière
#16 · Jupiler Pro League
DDDLW
★ OUR PICK
Anderlecht to Win
Solid home form and superior underlying numbers over RAAL La Louvière make Anderlecht the value pick here.
Moneyline
1.76
BEST ODDS
Our pick: Bookmakers offer average 1.70 (implied 58.9%) for Anderlecht to Win. Our experts calculate a 61.4% probability (an expert ratio of 1.63). We chose this bet because our experts rate it more likely than the bookmaker price implies (61.4% vs 58.9%), driven by Anderlecht's stronger form and superior underlying numbers. That edge makes it our most confident selection for this match.

Match Preview

The model favours Anderlecht to win against RAAL La Louvière, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Anderlecht begins the season in a solid fourth position, despite not having played any matches yet. However, their recent form shows promise, with three wins and two draws in their last five matches. This suggests a team that is building momentum and capable of carrying that into the new season. On the other hand, RAAL La Louvière finds itself at the bottom of the standings in 18th place, albeit with no matches played. Their recent form indicates some struggle, with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches. This mixed performance could impact their confidence as they face a strong opponent in their season opener. The model indicates a win probability of 65% for Anderlecht, with a projected score of 2-1. A key market percentage to note is that Anderlecht is expected to control a significant portion of possession. However, a potential caveat is that if RAAL La Louvière manages to capitalize on any early mistakes, they could disrupt Anderlecht's plans. The full methodology of our predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, developed by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, which leverages expected goals and actual results throughout the season.

Betting Predictions

How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.

Match Result
Anderlecht Win57%1.70
Draw22%3.65
RAAL La Louvière Win21%4.78
BTTS
Both Teams to Score: Yes
1.8554.5%

Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.

Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 Goals
1.9252.8%

Combined goal output is high (2.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.

Correct Score
Anderlecht 1-0 RAAL La Louvière
6.0516.6%

The most likely scoreline per our model at 16.6% probability.

Asian Handicap
Anderlecht -1.5
3.0037%

Anderlecht have been the stronger side, winning 34% of their matches.

CORRECT SCOREMost likely outcomes
1-0
6.05
16.6%
1-1
6.52
15.4%
2-0
7.31
13.8%
2-1
7.37
13.7%
0-0
9.79
10.3%
0-1
11.23
9.0%

Our model projects a 1-0 Anderlecht win as the most likely scoreline at 16.6% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Anderlecht clean sheets, in line with their 17% clean-sheet rate this season.

ASIAN HANDICAPLines & prices
Anderlecht
-0.0
1.26
RAAL La Louvière
+0.0
3.56
Anderlecht
-0.5
1.69
RAAL La Louvière
+0.5
4.30
Anderlecht
-1.5
3.00
RAAL La Louvière
+1.5
10.50

Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Anderlecht are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.

Best Betting Odds

Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière
Bookmaker1X2O/U 2.5BTTS
1X2OverUnderYesNo
10Bet
1.703.704.801.931.851.831.85
Marathonbet
1.663.804.851.891.881.831.85
Betfair
1.623.504.751.851.851.801.95
Pinnacle
1.703.765.301.931.93
SBO
1.723.414.291.961.90
William Hill
1.733.504.601.831.91
Bet365
1.673.604.501.951.851.911.91
1xBet
1.703.884.961.921.901.831.87
Unibet
1.703.654.751.971.801.861.82
888Sport
1.733.504.601.851.851.831.91
Betano
1.723.755.001.981.871.881.85
Superbet
1.763.704.701.951.871.881.90
BetVictor
1.673.755.001.851.821.831.87

Goals Probability

Avg. bookmaker odds
Over 0.5 Goals
90.4%
Over 1.5 Goals
72.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
52.8%
Over 3.5 Goals
28.5%

Double Chance

Bet covers two outcomes
1XAnderlecht or Draw
79%1.17
12Anderlecht or RAAL La Louvière
78%1.24
X2Draw or RAAL La Louvière
43%2.09

Head to Head

Last 4 Meetings (Anderlecht leads 3-0)
3 Anderlecht1 Draw0 RAAL La Louvière
15 Feb
Anderlecht
0-0
RAAL La Louvière
Jupiler Pro League
Nov 25
RAAL La Louvière
0-1
Anderlecht
Jupiler Pro League
Oct 23
RAAL La Louvière
0-1
Anderlecht
Cup
Oct 21
RAAL La Louvière
1-7
Anderlecht
Cup

In the last four matches between Anderlecht and RAAL La Louvière, Anderlecht has won three times, with one match ending in a draw, while RAAL La Louvière has yet to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a generally dominant performance by Anderlecht, highlighted by a heavy 7-1 win in their most recent cup encounter. The other matches have been tighter, with two 1-0 victories for Anderlecht and a goalless draw, suggesting that while Anderlecht has the upper hand, some matches have been closely contested. RAAL La Louvière last won against Anderlecht over two years ago, indicating a challenging trend for them.

Jupiler Pro League Standings

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1
Union St. Gilloise
11005143
W
2
Club Brugge KV
11003033
W
3
Cercle Brugge
10102201
D
4
Standard Liege
10102201
D
5
Lommel United
10101101
D
6
St. Truiden
10101101
D
9
Anderlecht
00000000
16
RAAL La Louvière
00000000
17
Kortrijk
100103-30
L
18
KVC Westerlo
100115-40
L

Venue Record

Current season at home / on the road
AnderlechtHome
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game
RAAL La LouvièreAway
0W0D0L
0 playedGF 0 · GA 0 pts/game

Key Statistics

2026 Season
AnderlechtRAAL La Louvière
1.59Goals p.g.1.12
1.69Goals conceded p.g.1.64
17%Clean sheets20%
34%Win rate20%
3.28Avg goals in match2.76
0.80xG per game
-0.18xGA per game
41%Possession %
3.7Shots on target / game
2.3Corners per game
Anderlecht
Recent Form

Anderlecht have won 6 of their last 14 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include beat Hammarby FF 3-1 and beat NEC Nijmegen 3-2.

Overall, the wider run reads 10W 7D 12L from the last 29 games (34% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: AnderlechtAll competitions
30 Jul
Anderlecht
3-1
Hammarby FF
UEFA Europa League
23 Jul
Hammarby FF
1-1
Anderlecht
UEFA Europa League
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0-1
Anderlecht
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Anderlecht
3-2
NEC Nijmegen
Friendlies Clubs
10 Jul
Anderlecht
2-1
Dunkerque
Friendlies Clubs
04 Jul
Anderlecht
0-0
Boulogne
Friendlies Clubs
10
Win
34%
7
Draw
24%
12
Lost
41%
RAAL La Louvière
Recent Form

RAAL La Louvière have won 3 of their last 12 matches on the road, drawing 3 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with RAAL La Louvière 0-0 and lost to Lille 3-0.

Overall, the wider run reads 5W 9D 11L from the last 25 games (20% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.

Match Results: RAAL La LouvièreAll competitions
01 Aug
Eintracht Braunschweig
0-0
RAAL La Louvière
Friendlies Clubs
25 Jul
RAAL La Louvière
0-0
Samsunspor
Friendlies Clubs
22 Jul
RAAL La Louvière
1-1
Kifisia
Friendlies Clubs
18 Jul
Lille
3-0
RAAL La Louvière
Friendlies Clubs
15 Jul
RAAL La Louvière
3-1
Excelsior Virton
Friendlies Clubs
11 Jul
Lokeren-Temse
2-3
RAAL La Louvière
Friendlies Clubs
5
Win
20%
9
Draw
36%
11
Lost
44%

Lineups

📋

Lineups not yet announced

Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.

Unavailable Players

0 players

Anderlecht

No reported absences

RAAL La Louvière

No reported absences

Betting Strategy

High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.

High Probability
Anderlecht Win1.70 (57.4%)
Value Bets
Over 2.5 Goals1.92 (52.8%)
Under 2.5 Goals1.86 (47.2%)
Both Teams Score1.85 (54.5%)
BTTS No1.88 (45.5%)
Speculative
Draw3.65 (21.9%)
RAAL La Louvière Win4.78 (20.7%)

Yellow Card Prediction

L. Visser has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by L. Visser to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.

Corner Prediction

Anderlecht average 1.6 goals per match at home; RAAL La Louvière 1.1 on the road. Open, attack-leaning sides tend to produce more corners; tight, low-event games tend to produce fewer. Our pick is over 9.5 corners at 1.72.

Player Stats Bet

Anderlecht have generated 0.80 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 34% of them. They put 3.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Anderlecht player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.

What's Your Prediction?

Pick the result you expect

OUR PREDICTION
Anderlecht to Win

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The Daily Punt Analysis Team

Data-driven football predictions and betting tips

This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.

Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.