Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC Prediction, Tips & Odds
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC
Match Preview
The model favours Aris Thessalonikis to win this match with a projected scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned 7th in the league, Aris has had a mixed season so far, recording two wins, one draw, and two losses from their first five matches. They have scored five goals, but their defensive record has been a concern, with ten goals conceded, leading to a goal difference of -5. Despite this, they remain the stronger team on paper compared to their opponents. In contrast, Volos NFC is struggling significantly this season, sitting at 13th place with no wins from their five matches, and only managing two draws. Their goal-scoring has also been poor, with just four goals netted, while conceding nine, resulting in a similar goal difference of -5. Their recent form shows a lack of resilience, with three losses and only two draws in their last five matches, indicating difficulties in securing points. The model output gives Aris a win probability of 53.7%, while Volos has just a 19.9% chance of victory. With a projected score of 2-1, there is a notable chance for both teams to score, reflected in the 48% probability for both teams to find the net. However, Aris's recent form has not been convincing, and if they fail to convert their chances, an upset could be on the cards. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team outlines the in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (2.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 15.6% probability.
Aris Thessalonikis have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-0 Aris Thessalonikis win as the most likely scoreline at 15.6% probability. 4 of the top six outcomes feature Aris Thessalonikis clean sheets, in line with their 31% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 4 bookmakers. Aris Thessalonikis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.10 | 1.80 | 1.94 | 1.87 | 1.81 | |
| 1.47 | 4.20 | 6.00 | 1.80 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 1.53 | 4.45 | 6.07 | 1.81 | 2.05 | — | — | |
| 1.47 | 3.78 | 5.51 | 1.83 | 2.01 | — | — | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 5.50 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.50 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 1.51 | 4.10 | 6.12 | 1.80 | 1.94 | 1.87 | 1.83 | |
Betano | 1.55 | 4.25 | 6.00 | 1.85 | 2.00 | 1.93 | 1.82 |
BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.00 | 1.76 | 1.92 | 1.85 | 1.83 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Aris Thessalonikis leads 7-1)In the last 10 matches between Aris Thessalonikis and Volos NFC, Aris has won 7 times, with 2 draws and 1 victory for Volos. The scorelines indicate a generally one-sided affair, with Aris often securing comfortable wins, including three matches with a margin of at least three goals. Volos's lone win came in November 2024, suggesting a significant challenge in consistently competing against Aris. The frequent low-scoring draws and Aris's dominance in most encounters highlight a trend where Volos has struggled to secure favorable results in this matchup.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAris Thessalonikis have won 6 of their last 13 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 1. Their recent home fixtures include beat Volos NFC 3-2 and drew with Iraklis 1908 0-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 10D 7L from the last 29 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Volos NFC have won 2 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 1 and losing 13. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Volos NFC 3-2 and lost to Kalamata 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 3W 8D 20L from the last 31 games (10% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedAris Thessalonikis4-2-3-1Confirmed
Volos NFC4-2-3-1Confirmed
Unavailable Players
0 playersAris Thessalonikis
No reported absences
Volos NFC
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Vassilis Fotias has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Vassilis Fotias to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Aris Thessalonikis have averaged 6.0 corners per match at home; Volos NFC 3.1 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Aris Thessalonikis have generated 1.55 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 5.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Aris Thessalonikis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
