Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Prediction, Tips & Odds
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos
Match Preview
The model favours Asteras Tripolis to win, projecting a scoreline of 1-0. Currently sitting in 12th place in the Super League 1, Asteras Tripolis is yet to secure a victory this season, drawing twice and losing three times. Their goal difference of -5, with 4 goals scored and 9 conceded, highlights their struggles, but they have shown some resilience with a recent form of one win, three draws, and one loss over their last five matches. Atromitos, positioned just above Asteras in 11th place, shares a similar record with no wins, two draws, and three losses. They have a slightly better goal difference at -3, having scored 4 goals and conceded 7. Recent form shows a mixed bag, with one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. Both teams are searching for their first win of the season, making this fixture critical for building momentum. The model gives Asteras Tripolis a 37.5% chance of winning, a 30.4% chance for a draw, and a 32.1% chance for an Atromitos victory. Additionally, there is a 41.9% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored and a 47.8% chance for both teams to score. A potential caveat for Asteras is their defensive vulnerabilities, which could be exploited by Atromitos if they find their rhythm. The full method behind these predictions is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, crafted by The Daily Punt Analysis Team, using an in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Asteras Tripolis have kept a clean sheet in 21% of matches. Atromitos average 1.4 goals per game.
Asteras Tripolis manage games at home, conceding just 1.39 goals per match. Atromitos score 1.44 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.3% probability.
Asteras Tripolis have been the stronger side, winning 24% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.3% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Asteras Tripolis clean sheets, in line with their 21% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Asteras Tripolis are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.35 | 3.08 | 3.08 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.78 | |
| 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.38 | 1.57 | 1.90 | 1.87 | |
| 2.45 | 3.06 | 3.30 | 2.36 | 1.63 | — | — | |
| 2.26 | 2.95 | 2.87 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.40 | 2.90 | 3.00 | — | — | 1.85 | 1.85 | |
| 2.40 | 3.20 | 3.00 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 1.95 | 1.80 | |
| 2.37 | 3.08 | 3.10 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 1.80 | |
Betano | 2.37 | 3.25 | 3.15 | 2.32 | 1.65 | 1.95 | 1.80 |
BetVictor | 2.38 | 3.13 | 3.00 | 2.17 | 1.59 | 1.91 | 1.78 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Asteras Tripolis leads 5-4)In the last 10 matches between Asteras Tripolis and Atromitos, Asteras Tripolis has won 5 times, Atromitos has won 4 times, and there has been 1 draw. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several close matches and a mix of narrow and heavier victories. Asteras Tripolis recorded notable wins of 4-2 and 1-4, while Atromitos also had a significant 2-1 win. The matches have generally been low-scoring, with three of them ending in 1-0. Atromitos last won against Asteras Tripolis in May 2026, indicating a recent back-and-forth dynamic.
Super League 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | WWLDW |
| 4 |  PAOK | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 | WWLWW |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | WDLLW |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | LDWWL |
| 10 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 | WDDLL |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | LLDDL |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | LLLDD |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonAsteras Tripolis have won 6 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include beat Atromitos 2-1 and drew with AEK Athens FC 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 8W 10D 15L from the last 33 games (24% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Atromitos have won 6 of their last 15 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 5. Their recent away fixtures include lost to Atromitos 2-1 and drew with Iraklis 1908 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 12W 9D 11L from the last 32 games (38% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersAsteras Tripolis
No reported absences
Atromitos
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Moschou Dimitrios has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Moschou Dimitrios to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Asteras Tripolis have averaged 5.5 corners per match at home; Atromitos 4.6 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Asteras Tripolis have generated 1.42 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 24% of them. They put 4.2 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Asteras Tripolis player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
