Banfield vs Rosario Central Prediction, Tips & Odds
Banfield vs Rosario Central
Match Preview
The model favours Rosario Central to win against Banfield, projecting a scoreline of 2-0. Rosario Central currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina standings, showcasing a solid season with 8 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses from 16 matches. They have scored 20 goals while conceding only 16, resulting in a positive goal difference of 4. Their recent form has also been reasonably consistent, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches. In contrast, Banfield is positioned 12th, struggling with a record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses. With only 17 goals scored and 19 conceded, their goal difference stands at -2. Their recent performances have been concerning, with no wins in their last five outings, recording three draws and two losses. This lack of form could hinder their chances against a stronger opponent like Rosario Central. The model gives Rosario Central a win probability of approximately 60%, while Banfield's chances sit at around 20%. One key market percentage to consider is the likelihood of Rosario Central winning by two goals or more. However, a potential caveat is Banfield's ability to draw matches, as they have managed to secure three draws in their last five encounters. For a detailed look at how we reached this prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, which outlines our in-house model that evaluates expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Banfield have kept a clean sheet in 21% of matches. Rosario Central average 1.3 goals per game.
Banfield manage games at home, conceding just 1.26 goals per match. Rosario Central score 1.34 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Rosario Central have been the stronger side, winning 51% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-1 Rosario Central win as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Rosario Central are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Banfield vs Rosario Central| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 4.20 | 3.25 | 1.89 | 2.19 | 1.63 | 1.95 | 1.74 | |
| 4.00 | 3.40 | 1.90 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 2.00 | 1.80 | |
| 4.36 | 3.40 | 1.95 | 2.30 | 1.67 | — | — | |
| 3.67 | 3.02 | 1.90 | 2.28 | 1.62 | — | — | |
| 4.00 | 3.10 | 1.91 | — | — | 1.95 | 1.75 | |
| 4.50 | 3.25 | 1.91 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 2.00 | 1.75 | |
| 4.28 | 3.32 | 1.93 | 2.23 | 1.66 | 1.95 | 1.76 | |
Betano | 4.20 | 3.30 | 1.95 | 2.27 | 1.67 | 1.98 | 1.78 |
BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.91 | 2.14 | 1.61 | 2.00 | 1.73 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Banfield leads 4-3)In the last 10 matches between Banfield and Rosario Central, Banfield has won 4 times, Rosario Central has also won 3 times, and there have been 3 draws. The scorelines indicate a competitive rivalry, with several matches being closely contested, such as the 1-1 and 0-0 draws. However, Banfield has secured a few decisive victories, including a 3-0 win and a 4-2 win. Rosario Central last won against Banfield in September 2021, suggesting that Banfield has had the upper hand more recently in this matchup. Overall, the record reflects a balanced but slightly favorable trend for Banfield in recent fixtures.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LDWLW |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WDWLD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WLDWD |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 28 | WWDWW |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 | LWDDD |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | WLLLL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBanfield have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 6 and losing 5. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Argentinos JRS 0-1 and drew with Rosario Central 1-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 9W 11D 14L from the last 34 games (26% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Rosario Central have won 10 of their last 21 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Banfield 1-1 and beat Estudiantes L.P. 1-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 21W 10D 10L from the last 41 games (51% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBanfield
No reported absences
Rosario Central
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Leandro Rey Hilfer has averaged 5.5 yellow cards per match across 2 recent fixtures we have data for. Our pick is over 4.5 yellow cards at 1.85.
Corner Prediction
Banfield have averaged 3.3 corners per match at home; Rosario Central 7.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 6.5 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Rosario Central have generated 1.37 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 51% of them. They put 4.7 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Rosario Central player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
