Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia Prediction, Tips & Odds
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia
Match Preview
The model favours Talleres Cordoba to win against Defensa Y Justicia, predicting a scoreline of 2-1. Talleres currently sits in 4th place in the Liga Profesional Argentina standings, having accumulated 26 points from 16 matches. Their season performance has been marked by a solid goal difference of +4, although recent form shows some inconsistency with only one win in their last five matches. Nevertheless, their overall position indicates a competitive side that has the ability to secure points. On the other hand, Defensa Y Justicia is in 10th place with 19 points from the same number of games. They have struggled defensively, conceding 21 goals while scoring 18, resulting in a negative goal difference of -3. However, their recent form has shown improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, suggesting they are starting to find their rhythm. This could present a challenge for Talleres if they are unable to capitalize on their home advantage. The model gives Talleres a win probability of 55% for this match. While the hosts are favoured, they must address their recent inconsistencies to avoid dropping points. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where our in-house model analyzes expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Talleres Cordoba have kept a clean sheet in 32% of matches. Defensa Y Justicia average 1.3 goals per game.
Talleres Cordoba manage games at home, conceding just 1.10 goals per match. Defensa Y Justicia score 1.25 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.2% probability.
Talleres Cordoba have been the stronger side, winning 32% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.2% probability. 3 of the top six outcomes feature Talleres Cordoba clean sheets, in line with their 32% clean-sheet rate this season.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Talleres Cordoba are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Talleres Cordoba vs Defensa Y Justicia| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.19 | 3.22 | 3.24 | 2.11 | 1.68 | 1.84 | 1.84 | |
| 2.20 | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.87 | 1.90 | |
| 2.27 | 3.27 | 3.29 | 2.17 | 1.70 | — | — | |
| 2.16 | 2.91 | 2.89 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.20 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 2.25 | 3.20 | 3.50 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 1.91 | 1.91 | |
| 2.24 | 3.29 | 3.31 | 2.14 | 1.71 | 1.84 | 1.86 | |
Betano | 2.27 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.25 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.83 | 1.85 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Defensa Y Justicia leads 4-2)The head-to-head record between Talleres Cordoba and Defensa Y Justicia shows that Defensa Y Justicia has won 4 matches, Talleres Cordoba has won 2, and there have been 3 draws in their last 10 encounters. This record indicates a slight edge for Defensa Y Justicia, particularly highlighted by their ability to secure several decisive victories, including a notable 5-1 win. Despite some tight matches, such as the 1-1 draws, the overall trend points to Defensa Y Justicia being more successful in recent fixtures, with Talleres Cordoba's last win occurring in April 2022.
Liga Profesional Argentina Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 | LDWLW |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 34 | DLDWW |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 30 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 29 | WDWLD |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 28 | WLDWD |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 26 | LDLLW |
| 10 | Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 15 | WLDWD |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 | WLLLL |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 11 | DLDDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonTalleres Cordoba have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 7. Their recent home fixtures include drew with Talleres Cordoba 0-0 and lost to Talleres Cordoba 0-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 10W 8D 13L from the last 31 games (32% win rate). The form line has been negative, with defeats outweighing wins across the sample.
Defensa Y Justicia have won 6 of their last 16 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Union Santa Fe 0-2 and drew with Central Cordoba de Santiago 2-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 10D 9L from the last 32 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersTalleres Cordoba
No reported absences
Defensa Y Justicia
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
Juan Pafundi has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by Juan Pafundi to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Talleres Cordoba have averaged 4.5 corners per match at home; Defensa Y Justicia 4.0 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.3 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Talleres Cordoba have generated 1.45 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 32% of them. They put 5.5 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Talleres Cordoba player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
What's Your Prediction?
Pick the result you expect
Do you agree with this prediction?
The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
