Blackburn vs Wrexham Prediction, Tips & Odds
Blackburn vs Wrexham
Match Preview
The model favours Blackburn to win against Wrexham, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Blackburn currently sits in 12th place in the Championship, having played nine matches this season. Their form has been mixed, with three wins, three draws, and three losses, resulting in a goal difference of +1. Key to their performance has been their ability to score, netting 14 goals, while their defensive record has been relatively solid, allowing 13 goals. Wrexham, on the other hand, is positioned just behind Blackburn in 14th place with 11 points from nine matches. Their season has been characterised by a struggle to convert draws into wins, with five draws out of nine matches. They have scored fewer goals than Blackburn, with only 10 to their name, and a negative goal difference of -3 indicates defensive vulnerabilities that Blackburn may exploit. According to the model output, Blackburn has a win probability of around 45%, with a projected score of 2-1. However, one caveat is that Wrexham's tendency to draw matches could lead to a tightly contested game, potentially limiting Blackburn's scoring opportunities. The full methodology behind this prediction is detailed in the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures through expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Blackburn manage games at home, conceding just 1.14 goals per match. Wrexham score 1.29 on the road.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 17.0% probability.
Blackburn have been the stronger side, winning 36% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 17.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Blackburn are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Blackburn vs Wrexham| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 2.70 | 3.12 | 2.60 | 2.11 | 1.68 | 1.81 | 1.87 | |
| 2.63 | 3.30 | 2.63 | — | — | — | — | |
| 2.76 | 3.23 | 2.65 | 2.17 | 1.70 | — | — | |
| 2.54 | 2.94 | 2.40 | 2.09 | 1.73 | — | — | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 | — | — | 1.83 | 1.91 | |
| 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.55 | 2.20 | 1.67 | 1.83 | 1.83 | |
| 2.70 | 3.12 | 2.60 | 2.11 | 1.68 | 1.81 | 1.90 | |
Betano | 2.77 | 3.20 | 2.67 | 2.18 | 1.72 | 1.83 | 1.91 |
BetVictor | 2.63 | 3.13 | 2.55 | 2.05 | 1.66 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 3 Meetings (evenly matched 1-1)The head-to-head record between Blackburn and Wrexham stands at one win for Blackburn, one draw, and one win for Wrexham over the last three matches. The scorelines indicate a mix of outcomes, with Blackburn's 4-1 victory suggesting a potential for heavy wins, while Wrexham's 2-0 win highlights their capability to secure solid results as well. The drawn match ended in a 1-1 tie, showing that encounters can be competitive. Overall, the results show a balanced rivalry, with neither side establishing a clear dominance in recent meetings.
Championship Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 2 |  West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 22 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 22 | DWWDD |
| 4 |  Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 20 | WWWDW |
| 5 |  West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 | WWLLD |
| 6 |  Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 22 |  Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 8 | LDWDL |
| 23 |  Derby | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 | LLDDL |
| 24 |  Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 4 | LLLDL |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBlackburn have won 6 of their last 17 matches at home, drawing 5 and losing 6. Their recent home fixtures include beat Blackburn 2-1 and beat Blackburn 3-1.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 10D 13L from the last 36 games (36% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Wrexham have won 7 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 6 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include drew with Derby 1-1 and lost to West Ham 6-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 13W 9D 13L from the last 35 games (37% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
0 playersBlackburn
No reported absences
Wrexham
No reported absences
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
The referee for this fixture has not been confirmed, so we are sitting this card market out.
Corner Prediction
Blackburn have averaged 6.7 corners per match at home; Wrexham 5.4 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.1 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Blackburn have generated 1.09 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 36% of them. They put 4.8 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Blackburn player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
