Brann vs Lillestrom Prediction, Tips & Odds
Brann vs Lillestrom
Match Preview
The model favours Brann to win against Lillestrom, projecting a scoreline of 2-1. Currently positioned sixth in the Eliteserien, Brann has accumulated 25 points from 17 games, with a record of eight wins, one draw, and eight losses. Their offensive capabilities are highlighted by 36 goals scored, yielding a goal difference of plus nine. Recent form shows improvement, with three wins in their last five matches, suggesting a positive trajectory as they aim to climb the standings. Lillestrom, sitting just above Brann in fifth place with 26 points, has also played 17 matches, securing eight wins, two draws, and seven losses. However, their recent form is concerning, having failed to win in their last five matches, recording two draws and three losses. With only 23 goals scored and a goal difference of plus two, Lillestrom's attack has not been as prolific as Brann's, which may hinder their chances in this encounter. The model output indicates a win probability of 55% for Brann, with the projected score being 2-1. One key market percentage to consider is Brann's chance of winning at home, which is relatively strong. However, the caveat lies in Lillestrom's potential to surprise, especially if they can break their winless streak. For a deeper understanding of the prediction, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section, where The Daily Punt Analysis Team details the in-house model based on expected goals and actual results across the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (3.7 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.1% probability.
Brann have been the stronger side, winning 41% of their matches.
Our model projects a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline at 13.1% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 5 bookmakers. Brann are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Brann vs Lillestrom| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 1.85 | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.55 | |
| 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.20 | 1.42 | 2.51 | 1.47 | 2.46 | |
| 1.80 | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 1.44 | 2.70 | |
| 1.75 | 4.28 | 4.34 | 1.49 | 2.69 | — | — | |
| 1.82 | 3.42 | 3.25 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 | — | — | 1.44 | 2.50 | |
| 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.33 | 1.48 | 2.60 | 1.50 | 2.50 | |
| 1.74 | 4.19 | 4.29 | 1.42 | 2.51 | 1.47 | 2.50 | |
| 1.81 | 3.90 | 3.80 | 1.45 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.50 | |
Betano | 1.85 | 3.85 | 3.75 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.45 | 2.55 |
Superbet | 1.87 | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.49 | 2.50 | 1.47 | 2.50 |
BetVictor | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 | 2.60 | 1.44 | 2.55 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 10 Meetings (Brann leads 6-0)In the last 10 matches between Brann and Lillestrom, Brann has won 6 times, with 2 matches ending in a draw and Lillestrom failing to secure a victory. The scorelines indicate a generally favorable trend for Brann, as they have consistently managed to win, often with a margin, as seen in multiple 2-0 and 2-1 victories. Notably, Lillestrom has not won in this fixture for an extended period, with their last victory dating back further than the last ten encounters. The results reflect a clear advantage for Brann, suggesting a challenging historical context for Lillestrom in these matchups.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 7 | Brann | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 26 | LDWWL |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonBrann have won 9 of their last 21 matches at home, drawing 3 and losing 9. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Lillestrom 1-2 and beat PAOK 3-2.
Overall, the wider run reads 17W 8D 16L from the last 41 games (41% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lillestrom have won 7 of their last 17 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 6. Their recent away fixtures include beat Lillestrom 1-2 and beat Aurskog Finstadbru 0-3.
Overall, the wider run reads 16W 6D 14L from the last 36 games (44% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
Lineups not yet announced
Starting lineups are usually confirmed approximately 1 hour before kick-off.
Unavailable Players
12 playersBrann8
Lillestrom4
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
E. Eskas has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by E. Eskas to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Brann have averaged 6.2 corners per match at home; Lillestrom 5.7 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 7.0 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Brann have generated 1.22 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 41% of them. They put 4.4 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Brann player to score at 1.85 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
