Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Tips & Odds
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
Match Preview
The model favours Bodo/Glimt to win against Fredrikstad, projecting a scoreline of 3-1. Bodo/Glimt currently sit at the top of the Eliteserien standings, showcasing a strong season with 13 wins, 2 draws, and only 2 losses from 17 matches. Their goal-scoring ability has been impressive, netting 43 goals while conceding just 12, resulting in a goal difference of +31. This offensive and defensive strength underscores their position as title contenders. Fredrikstad, on the other hand, has had a more challenging season. Positioned 8th in the league, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses reflects inconsistency. With 18 goals scored and 27 conceded, their goal difference of -9 indicates defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by a potent attack like Bodo/Glimt's. Recent form shows Fredrikstad winning three of their last five matches, but they will need to elevate their performance significantly to challenge the league leaders. The model output suggests a high win probability for Bodo/Glimt, reflecting their dominance this season. However, Fredrikstad's recent improvement could pose a risk if they manage to harness their home advantage effectively. For a deeper understanding of how these predictions were derived, please refer to the "How We Reached This Prediction" section. The Daily Punt Analysis Team employs an in-house model that evaluates fixtures based on expected goals and actual results throughout the season.
Betting Predictions
How the model works, and its full prediction record, are set out on our How It Works and Accuracy pages.
Both attacks have been productive in recent matches, with regular goal-scoring on either side.
Combined goal output is high (4.3 per game). The over has been the right side more often than not.
The most likely scoreline per our model at 13.0% probability.
Bodo/Glimt have been the stronger side, winning 78% of their matches.
Our model projects a 0-2 Bodo/Glimt win as the most likely scoreline at 13.0% probability. These six outcomes together cover the bulk of the projected probability for this fixture.
Lines averaged across 3 bookmakers. Bodo/Glimt are the favourites on the spread, so the larger handicaps pay more if they win comfortably while the smaller lines protect the bet on a narrower result.
Best Betting Odds
Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt| Bookmaker | 1X2 | O/U 2.5 | BTTS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | X | 2 | Over | Under | Yes | No | |
| 10.60 | 5.75 | 1.25 | 1.38 | 2.95 | 1.67 | 2.05 | |
| 8.10 | 5.55 | 1.30 | 1.34 | 2.80 | 1.63 | 2.11 | |
| 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.29 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.62 | 2.25 | |
| 8.42 | 6.08 | 1.31 | 1.38 | 3.08 | — | — | |
| 6.38 | 4.84 | 1.28 | — | — | — | — | |
| 7.50 | 5.00 | 1.30 | — | — | 1.65 | 2.15 | |
| 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.30 | 1.36 | 3.10 | 1.62 | 2.20 | |
| 8.30 | 5.70 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 2.83 | 1.63 | 2.14 | |
| 8.00 | 5.30 | 1.32 | 1.35 | 2.88 | 1.58 | 2.16 | |
Betano | 7.80 | 5.30 | 1.33 | 1.39 | 2.85 | 1.65 | 2.12 |
Superbet | 7.60 | 5.60 | 1.31 | 1.41 | 2.77 | 1.69 | 2.05 |
BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.29 | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.60 | 2.15 |
Goals Probability
Avg. bookmaker oddsDouble Chance
Bet covers two outcomesHead to Head
Last 6 Meetings (Bodo/Glimt leads 5-0)In the last six matches between Fredrikstad and Bodo/Glimt, the record shows Fredrikstad with 0 wins, 1 draw, and Bodo/Glimt winning 5 times. This indicates a dominant performance by Bodo/Glimt, highlighted by three matches where they won by at least two goals, including a significant 5-0 victory. The only draw occurred in a tightly contested 2-2 match, suggesting that while Fredrikstad has struggled to secure wins, they have managed to keep one match competitive. Overall, Bodo/Glimt's consistent success over this stretch underscores a clear advantage in their encounters.
Eliteserien Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 19 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 15 | 34 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Viking | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 | DWLWW |
| 3 |  Tromso | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 | LDLWW |
| 4 |  Molde | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 33 | WWWLD |
| 5 |  Lillestrom | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 29 | WLDLL |
| 6 |  Rosenborg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 27 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 26 | LWWWW |
| 14 |  KFUM Oslo | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | LLDWW |
| 15 |  Aalesund | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Start | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 13 | LWLLW |
Venue Record
Current season at home / on the roadKey Statistics
2026 SeasonFredrikstad have won 8 of their last 16 matches at home, drawing 4 and losing 4. Their recent home fixtures include lost to Bodo/Glimt 1-2 and beat Kristiansund BK 1-0.
Overall, the wider run reads 14W 6D 13L from the last 33 games (42% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Bodo/Glimt have won 13 of their last 19 matches on the road, drawing 4 and losing 2. Their recent away fixtures include beat Bodo/Glimt 1-2 and beat Fauske Sprint 0-5.
Overall, the wider run reads 31W 5D 4L from the last 40 games (78% win rate). The form line is positive, with more wins than defeats across the sample.
Lineups
ConfirmedFredrikstad3-4-3Confirmed
Bodo/Glimt4-4-2Confirmed
Unavailable Players
10 playersFredrikstad4
Bodo/Glimt6
Betting Strategy
High-probability picks are the most likely outcomes. Value selections are markets where our model's probability sits above the price implied by the odds. They will not always come in, but the odds are in your favour over time.
Yellow Card Prediction
S. Sletner has been appointed as the referee for this fixture. We don't yet have enough recent fixtures officiated by S. Sletner to give a confident card-market projection. Our default lean is under 3.5 yellow cards at 1.95.
Corner Prediction
Fredrikstad have averaged 3.6 corners per match at home; Bodo/Glimt 6.2 on the road. Combined that projects roughly 5.9 corners in this fixture. Our pick is under 9.5 corners at 1.80.
Player Stats Bet
Bodo/Glimt have generated 1.98 xG per game across their recent matches, winning 78% of them. They put 5.9 shots on target per match, giving their attackers the volume needed to land a goal-involvement bet. Bodo/Glimt player to score or assist at 1.55 looks well supported by the data.
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The Daily Punt Analysis Team
Data-driven football predictions and betting tips
This forecast was built by the The Daily Punt Analysis Team using our in-house statistical model. We feed the model two layers of data for every fixture: each team's recent expected goals (xG and xGA) and their actual goals scored and conceded, split by home and away venue. The numbers run through a Poisson distribution that produces a probability for every possible scoreline, which we then convert into fair odds for the 1X2, correct score, BTTS, and over/under markets.
Before publishing, we cross-check our fair odds against the prices the major bookmakers are offering. Where a bookmaker is paying out more than our model says is mathematically fair, we flag that market as a value bet on this page.
